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The Goldmanchs Group (BSP:GSGI34) Beneish M-Score : -2.42 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is The Goldmanchs Group Beneish M-Score?

Note: Financial institutions were excluded from the sample in Beneish paper when calculating Beneish M-Score. Thus, the prediction might not fit banks and insurance companies.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.42 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Goldmanchs Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:GSGI34' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.65   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.86
Current: -2.42

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of The Goldmanchs Group was -1.86. The lowest was -2.65. And the median was -2.48.


The Goldmanchs Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of The Goldmanchs Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9941+0.528 * 1+0.404 * 1.0369+0.892 * 0.9496+0.115 * 0.4148
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0344+4.679 * 0.012928-0.327 * 0.8485
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was R$727,998 Mil.
Revenue was 55455.936 + 58360.618 + 52881.062 + 63669.926 = R$230,368 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55455.936 + 58360.618 + 52881.062 + 63669.926 = R$230,368 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$2,074,218 Mil.
Total Assets was R$8,043,482 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$65,731 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$24,078 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$80,335 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$1,603,518 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$1,225,435 Mil.
Net Income was 9838.798 + 10163.845 + 5902.099 + 16844.612 = R$42,749 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = R$0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was -138948.528 + -126104.766 + 154837.884 + 48981.674 = R$-61,234 Mil.
Total Receivables was R$771,215 Mil.
Revenue was 55564.522 + 62792.11 + 59885.913 + 64359.781 = R$242,602 Mil.
Gross Profit was 55564.522 + 62792.11 + 59885.913 + 64359.781 = R$242,602 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R$2,108,819 Mil.
Total Assets was R$7,562,812 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was R$100,953 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was R$12,631 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was R$81,791 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R$1,789,977 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was R$1,344,915 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(727997.584 / 230367.542) / (771215.426 / 242602.326)
=3.160157 / 3.178928
=0.9941

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(242602.326 / 242602.326) / (230367.542 / 230367.542)
=1 / 1
=1

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2074217.633 + 65730.817) / 8043482.279) / (1 - (2108818.653 + 100952.968) / 7562812.473)
=0.733952 / 0.707811
=1.0369

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=230367.542 / 242602.326
=0.9496

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(12631.222 / (12631.222 + 100952.968)) / (24078.298 / (24078.298 + 65730.817))
=0.111206 / 0.268105
=0.4148

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(80334.718 / 230367.542) / (81790.869 / 242602.326)
=0.348724 / 0.33714
=1.0344

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1225435.08 + 1603518.347) / 8043482.279) / ((1344915.314 + 1789977.013) / 7562812.473)
=0.351708 / 0.414514
=0.8485

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(42749.354 - 0 - -61233.736) / 8043482.279
=0.012928

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

The Goldmanchs Group has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


The Goldmanchs Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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The Goldmanchs Group (BSP:GSGI34) Business Description

Address
200 West Street, New York, NY, USA, 10282
Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment banking and asset management firm. Approximately 20% of its revenue comes from investment banking, 45% from trading, 20% from asset management and 15% from wealth management and retail financial services. Around 60% of the company's net revenue is generated in the Americas, 15% in Asia, and 25% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.