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Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) Beneish M-Score : -2.96 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.96 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:CBG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.96   Med: -2.48   Max: -1.49
Current: -2.96

During the past 12 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carabao Group PCL was -1.49. The lowest was -2.96. And the median was -2.48.


Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Chart

Carabao Group PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.87 -2.48 -2.17 -2.02 -2.96

Carabao Group PCL Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -2.34 -2.69 -2.81 -2.96

Competitive Comparison of Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carabao Group PCL's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carabao Group PCL for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.8963+0.528 * 1.1327+0.404 * 1.0573+0.892 * 0.9812+0.115 * 0.9957
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.8808+4.679 * -0.109795-0.327 * 0.8884
=-2.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was ฿2,086 Mil.
Revenue was 5316.055 + 4706.848 + 4706.681 + 4123.511 = ฿18,853 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1340.851 + 1262.075 + 1259.821 + 1016.666 = ฿4,879 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿5,802 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿19,544 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿12,875 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿818 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿2,660 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿4,283 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿3,747 Mil.
Net Income was 649.304 + 529.618 + 481.52 + 263.793 = ฿1,924 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 6.542 + 45.504 + 49.527 + 65.033 = ฿167 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 1208.45 + 698.422 + 1126.008 + 870.535 = ฿3,903 Mil.
Total Receivables was ฿2,372 Mil.
Revenue was 4490.007 + 4694.798 + 5247.409 + 4782.879 = ฿19,215 Mil.
Gross Profit was 1191.183 + 1359.422 + 1616.389 + 1466.081 = ฿5,633 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ฿6,347 Mil.
Total Assets was ฿20,039 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was ฿12,852 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was ฿813 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was ฿3,078 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ฿8,187 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was ฿1,082 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(2086.483 / 18853.095) / (2372.49 / 19215.093)
=0.110671 / 0.12347
=0.8963

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(5633.075 / 19215.093) / (4879.413 / 18853.095)
=0.293159 / 0.258812
=1.1327

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (5802.122 + 12874.956) / 19543.502) / (1 - (6347.105 + 12851.553) / 20038.927)
=0.044333 / 0.041932
=1.0573

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=18853.095 / 19215.093
=0.9812

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(813.133 / (813.133 + 12851.553)) / (818.342 / (818.342 + 12874.956))
=0.059506 / 0.059762
=0.9957

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(2660.163 / 18853.095) / (3078.242 / 19215.093)
=0.1411 / 0.160199
=0.8808

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((3747.165 + 4283.335) / 19543.502) / ((1081.657 + 8187.13) / 20038.927)
=0.410904 / 0.462539
=0.8884

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1924.235 - 166.606 - 3903.415) / 19543.502
=-0.109795

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carabao Group PCL has a M-score of -2.96 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Carabao Group PCL Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Silom Road, Silom, 393 Silom Building, 393, 7th - 10th Floor, Bangrak, Bangkok, THA, 10500
Carabao Group PCL through its subsidiaries manufactures and distributes energy drinks, water, and coffee, under brand names including Carabao and Start. It operates in three segments: Manufacture and Distribution of Energy Drinks, Distribution of OEM products under Group's trademark, and Distribution of Other Products. Only the Manufacture and Distribution of Energy Drinks and Distribution of Other Products segments sell to external customers. The two segments account for roughly 30% and 70% of external sales, respectively. Geographically, it derives the majority of revenue from Thailand.

Carabao Group PCL (BKK:CBG) Headlines

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