Avient Beneish M-Score Historical Data
The historical data trend for Avient's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Avient Beneish M-Score Chart
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Avient Annual Data
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Trend |
Dec14 |
Dec15 |
Dec16 |
Dec17 |
Dec18 |
Dec19 |
Dec20 |
Dec21 |
Dec22 |
Dec23 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-2.20 |
-1.99 |
-2.62 |
-2.07 |
-2.73 |
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Avient Quarterly Data
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Mar19 |
Jun19 |
Sep19 |
Dec19 |
Mar20 |
Jun20 |
Sep20 |
Dec20 |
Mar21 |
Jun21 |
Sep21 |
Dec21 |
Mar22 |
Jun22 |
Sep22 |
Dec22 |
Mar23 |
Jun23 |
Sep23 |
Dec23 |
| Beneish M-Score |
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-2.07 |
-2.46 |
-2.32 |
-2.19 |
-2.73 |
Competitive Comparison of Avient's Beneish M-Score
For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Avient's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Avient's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Chemicals Industry
For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Avient's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Avient's Beneish M-Score falls into.
Avient Beneish M-Score Calculation
The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.
The M-Score Variables:
The M-score of Avient for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:
| M | = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * DSRI | + | 0.528 * GMI | + | 0.404 * AQI | + | 0.892 * SGI | + | 0.115 * DEPI |
| = | -4.84 | + | 0.92 * 0.981 | + | 0.528 * 0.915 | + | 0.404 * 1.0378 | + | 0.892 * 0.9252 | + | 0.115 * 0.8709 |
| - | 0.172 * SGAI | + | 4.679 * TATA | - | 0.327 * LVGI |
| - | 0.172 * 1.176 | + | 4.679 * -0.022066 | - | 0.327 * 0.9536 |
| = | -2.73 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
| This Year (Dec23) TTM: | Last Year (Dec22) TTM: |
Total Receivables was $400 Mil.
Revenue was 719 + 753.7 + 824.4 + 845.7 = $3,143 Mil.
Gross Profit was 208.9 + 195.3 + 240.7 + 247.6 = $893 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,408 Mil.
Total Assets was $5,969 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,094 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $189 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $696 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $774 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,114 Mil.
Net Income was 28.6 + 5.1 + 22.1 + 19.9 = $76 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 4.3 + 1 + -0.2 + 0.7 = $6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 154.5 + 71.8 + -2.5 + -22.2 = $202 Mil.
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Total Receivables was $441 Mil.
Revenue was 790.4 + 823.3 + 891 + 892.2 = $3,397 Mil.
Gross Profit was 172 + 195.4 + 260.9 + 254.4 = $883 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,570 Mil.
Total Assets was $6,085 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,110 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $163 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $639 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $869 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $2,218 Mil.
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1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index
Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.
A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.
| DSRI | = | (Receivables_t / Revenue_t) | / | (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) |
| = | (399.9 / 3142.8) | / | (440.6 / 3396.9) |
| = | 0.127243 | / | 0.129706 |
| | = | 0.981 |
2. GMI = Gross Margin Index
Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.
Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.
| GMI | = | GrossMargin_t-1 | / | GrossMargin_t |
| = | (GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) | / | (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t) |
| = | (882.7 / 3396.9) | / | (892.5 / 3142.8) |
| = | 0.259855 | / | 0.283982 |
| | = | 0.915 |
3. AQI = Asset Quality Index
AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.
Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.
| AQI | = | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | (1 - (1407.6 + 1094.2) / 5968.5) | / | (1 - (1569.7 + 1109.6) / 6085) |
| = | 0.580833 | / | 0.559688 |
| | = | 1.0378 |
4. SGI = Sales Growth Index
Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.
Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.
| SGI | = | Sales_t | / | Sales_t-1 |
| = | Revenue_t | / | Revenue_t-1 |
| = | 3142.8 | / | 3396.9 |
| | = | 0.9252 |
5. DEPI = Depreciation Index
Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.
DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.
| DEPI | = | (Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) | / | (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t)) |
| = | (163.1 / (163.1 + 1109.6)) | / | (188.8 / (188.8 + 1094.2)) |
| = | 0.128153 | / | 0.147155 |
| | = | 0.8709 |
Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.
6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index
The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.
SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.
| SGAI | = | (SGA_t / Sales_t) | / | (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1) |
| = | (695.7 / 3142.8) | / | (639.4 / 3396.9) |
| = | 0.221363 | / | 0.18823 |
| | = | 1.176 |
7. LVGI = Leverage Index
The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.
An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage
| LVGI | = | ((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) | / | ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1) |
| = | ((2113.7 + 773.6) / 5968.5) | / | ((2217.6 + 869.4) / 6085) |
| = | 0.483756 | / | 0.507313 |
| | = | 0.9536 |
8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets
Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.
| TATA | = | (IncomefromContinuingOperations_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t | - | CashFlowsfromOperations_t) | / | TotalAssets_t |
| = | (75.7 - 5.8 | - | 201.6) | / | 5968.5 |
| | = | -0.022066 |
An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.
Avient has a M-score of -2.73 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
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