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Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) Beneish M-Score : -2.74 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Scentre Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.74 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:SCG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3   Med: -2.37   Max: 1.09
Current: -2.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Scentre Group was 1.09. The lowest was -3.00. And the median was -2.37.


Scentre Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Scentre Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Scentre Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.55 -2.17 -2.41 -2.93 -2.74

Scentre Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.41 - -2.93 - -2.74

Competitive Comparison of Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Scentre Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Scentre Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Scentre Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7531+0.528 * 0.9534+0.404 * 1.0076+0.892 * 1.0213+0.115 * 0.9131
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1+4.679 * -0.000998-0.327 * 1.0388
=-2.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$125 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,510 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,756 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$914 Mil.
Total Assets was A$35,672 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$103 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$14 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$3,218 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$13,866 Mil.
Net Income was A$175 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-860 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$1,071 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$162 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,458 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$1,639 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$1,212 Mil.
Total Assets was A$37,007 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$114 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$14 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$0 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$3,533 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$13,529 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(124.6 / 2510.3) / (162 / 2457.9)
=0.049636 / 0.06591
=0.7531

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1638.9 / 2457.9) / (1755.7 / 2510.3)
=0.666789 / 0.699398
=0.9534

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (914.2 + 103.2) / 35671.5) / (1 - (1211.6 + 113.5) / 37006.7)
=0.971479 / 0.964193
=1.0076

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2510.3 / 2457.9
=1.0213

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(13.7 / (13.7 + 113.5)) / (13.8 / (13.8 + 103.2))
=0.107704 / 0.117949
=0.9131

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(0 / 2510.3) / (0 / 2457.9)
=0 / 0
=1

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((13865.6 + 3218.3) / 35671.5) / ((13528.5 + 3533.4) / 37006.7)
=0.478923 / 0.461049
=1.0388

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(174.9 - -860.2 - 1070.7) / 35671.5
=-0.000998

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Scentre Group has a M-score of -2.74 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Scentre Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Scentre Group (ASX:SCG) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
85 Castlereagh Street, Level 30, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Scentre Group owns the largest portfolio of premium Australian and New Zealand shopping malls, owning most of the top 10 Australian and top five New Zealand malls. About half its rent comes from anchor tenants and half from specialty tenants. About a third of floor space is currently allocated to department stores, however we expect tenants to return a reasonable portion of that space over the next decade, or alternatively, department store rent to be renegotiated to lower levels. While almost every Scentre mall is anchored by at least one supermarket, these tenants accounts for less than 10% of gross lettable area, due to the large size of Scentre's assets.