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National Storage REIT (ASX:NSR) Beneish M-Score : -2.59 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is National Storage REIT Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.59 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:NSR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.02   Med: -2.58   Max: -2.27
Current: -2.59

During the past 10 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of National Storage REIT was -2.27. The lowest was -3.02. And the median was -2.58.


National Storage REIT Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

National Storage REIT Beneish M-Score Chart

National Storage REIT Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.60 -2.57 -3.02 -2.27 -2.59

National Storage REIT Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.27 - -2.59 -

Competitive Comparison of National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Industrial subindustry, National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Storage REIT's Beneish M-Score falls into.



National Storage REIT Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of National Storage REIT for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.7214+0.528 * 0.9841+0.404 * 1.007+0.892 * 1.1905+0.115 * 0.9779
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9618+4.679 * -0.014087-0.327 * 0.8678
=-2.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$17.3 Mil.
Revenue was A$320.1 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$278.4 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$98.1 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,582.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$5.6 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$2.8 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$67.1 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$146.2 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,031.2 Mil.
Net Income was A$320.4 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$196.6 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$188.3 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$20.2 Mil.
Revenue was A$268.9 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$230.1 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$112.7 Mil.
Total Assets was A$4,054.0 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$6.5 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$3.2 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$58.6 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$130.4 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$1,070.0 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(17.308 / 320.131) / (20.153 / 268.912)
=0.054065 / 0.074943
=0.7214

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(230.148 / 268.912) / (278.414 / 320.131)
=0.855849 / 0.869688
=0.9841

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (98.128 + 5.622) / 4582.036) / (1 - (112.662 + 6.53) / 4053.981)
=0.977357 / 0.970599
=1.007

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=320.131 / 268.912
=1.1905

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(3.178 / (3.178 + 6.53)) / (2.829 / (2.829 + 5.622))
=0.327359 / 0.334753
=0.9779

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(67.071 / 320.131) / (58.578 / 268.912)
=0.209511 / 0.217833
=0.9618

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1031.219 + 146.161) / 4582.036) / ((1069.971 + 130.424) / 4053.981)
=0.256956 / 0.296103
=0.8678

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(320.4 - 196.634 - 188.311) / 4582.036
=-0.014087

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

National Storage REIT has a M-score of -2.59 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


National Storage REIT Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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National Storage REIT (ASX:NSR) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 Eagle Street, Level 16, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
National Storage REIT is the largest self-storage provider in Australia and New Zealand. Most of its properties are owned and operated, but it also has long-term leaseholds. Most NSR centres are in city fringe, suburban and regional areas. The industry is fragmented, mostly comprising single site owners, while the largest three players, NSR, privately owned Kennards, and the listed Abacus Storage King operate over a third of the market. NSR plans to continue acquiring and developing self-storage centres, consolidating the fragmented industry, as well generating organic growth via dynamic pricing and occupancy management. However, its large rivals are competing via similar strategies.

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