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Coles Group (ASX:COL) Beneish M-Score : -2.71 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Coles Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.71 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coles Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:COL' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.11   Med: -2.87   Max: -2.71
Current: -2.71

During the past 6 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Coles Group was -2.71. The lowest was -3.11. And the median was -2.87.


Coles Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coles Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coles Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Coles Group Annual Data
Trend Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - -2.98 -3.11 -2.75 -2.71

Coles Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.75 - -2.71 -

Competitive Comparison of Coles Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Coles Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coles Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coles Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coles Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Coles Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Coles Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.2519+0.528 * 0.9998+0.404 * 1.0194+0.892 * 1.0283+0.115 * 0.9986
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9934+4.679 * -0.108135-0.327 * 0.9811
=-2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun23) TTM:Last Year (Jun22) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$605 Mil.
Revenue was A$40,483 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$10,449 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$3,752 Mil.
Total Assets was A$18,292 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$11,492 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,461 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$7,398 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$6,408 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$8,147 Mil.
Net Income was A$1,098 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$269 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$2,807 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$470 Mil.
Revenue was A$39,369 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$10,159 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$3,751 Mil.
Total Assets was A$18,836 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$12,006 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$1,524 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$7,242 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$6,415 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$8,862 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(605 / 40483) / (470 / 39369)
=0.014945 / 0.011938
=1.2519

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(10159 / 39369) / (10449 / 40483)
=0.258046 / 0.258108
=0.9998

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3752 + 11492) / 18292) / (1 - (3751 + 12006) / 18836)
=0.16663 / 0.163464
=1.0194

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=40483 / 39369
=1.0283

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(1524 / (1524 + 12006)) / (1461 / (1461 + 11492))
=0.112639 / 0.112792
=0.9986

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(7398 / 40483) / (7242 / 39369)
=0.182743 / 0.183952
=0.9934

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((8147 + 6408) / 18292) / ((8862 + 6415) / 18836)
=0.795703 / 0.811053
=0.9811

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(1098 - 269 - 2807) / 18292
=-0.108135

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Coles Group has a M-score of -2.71 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Coles Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Coles Group (ASX:COL) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800-838 Toorak Road, Hawthorn East, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3123
Coles Group Limited is one of Australia's largest retailers, operating the second-largest supermarket chain behind market leader Woolworths, and is the country's third-largest liquor retailer. The group has an extensive store network of about 2,500 store outlets and roughly 80% of Australian live within a 10-minute drive from their nearest Coles store. The retailer employs some 110,000 people, who process over 20 million individual customer transactions a week. This compares with Woolworths processing almost 30 million customer transactions per week from Australia's population of 25 million.

Coles Group (ASX:COL) Headlines