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Alpha Metallurgical Resources (Alpha Metallurgical Resources) Beneish M-Score : -2.11 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Alpha Metallurgical Resources Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.11 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

AMR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.86   Med: -2.25   Max: -0.04
Current: -2.11

During the past 9 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Alpha Metallurgical Resources was -0.04. The lowest was -7.86. And the median was -2.25.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Beneish M-Score Chart

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only -2.62 -7.86 -1.78 -2.38 -2.11

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.38 -2.42 -3.17 -2.42 -2.11

Competitive Comparison of Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Metallurgical Resources's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Alpha Metallurgical Resources Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Alpha Metallurgical Resources for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4789+0.528 * 1.4735+0.404 * 1.003+0.892 * 0.8464+0.115 * 1.0154
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.3593+4.679 * -0.044291-0.327 * 0.7415
=-2.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was $510 Mil.
Revenue was 959.991 + 741.82 + 858.371 + 911.235 = $3,471 Mil.
Gross Profit was 246.409 + 142.561 + 240.439 + 340.478 = $970 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,048 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,406 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $1,040 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $145 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $82 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $310 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $7 Mil.
Net Income was 176.016 + 93.814 + 181.355 + 270.771 = $722 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -10.197 + -7.274 + -4.048 + -1.117 = $-23 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 199.353 + 157.2 + 317.219 + 177.387 = $851 Mil.
Total Receivables was $407 Mil.
Revenue was 823.448 + 869.768 + 1336.412 + 1071.964 = $4,102 Mil.
Gross Profit was 246.915 + 283.245 + 675.506 + 482.839 = $1,689 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $1,114 Mil.
Total Assets was $2,312 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $894 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $127 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $72 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $403 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $8 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(509.682 / 3471.417) / (407.21 / 4101.592)
=0.146822 / 0.099281
=1.4789

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(1688.505 / 4101.592) / (969.887 / 3471.417)
=0.411671 / 0.279392
=1.4735

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (1048.297 + 1040.152) / 2406.057) / (1 - (1114.421 + 893.707) / 2312.479)
=0.132004 / 0.131612
=1.003

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=3471.417 / 4101.592
=0.8464

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(127.118 / (127.118 + 893.707)) / (145.392 / (145.392 + 1040.152))
=0.124525 / 0.122637
=1.0154

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(82.39 / 3471.417) / (71.618 / 4101.592)
=0.023734 / 0.017461
=1.3593

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((6.792 + 309.93) / 2406.057) / ((7.897 + 402.625) / 2312.479)
=0.131635 / 0.177525
=0.7415

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(721.956 - -22.636 - 851.159) / 2406.057
=-0.044291

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources has a M-score of -2.11 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Alpha Metallurgical Resources Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Alpha Metallurgical Resources (Alpha Metallurgical Resources) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
340 Martin Luther King Jr. Boulevard, Bristol, TN, USA, 37620
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc is a Tennessee-based coal mining company with operations across Virginia and West Virginia. The company's portfolio of mining operations consists of underground mines, surface mines and coal preparation plants. It produces low-ash metallurgical coal, including High-Vol. A, Mid-Vol., High-Vol. B, and Low-Vol. coal, which is shipped to domestic and international coke and steel producers. The reportable segments of the company are Met. It extracts, processes and markets met and thermal coal from deep and surface mines for sale to steel and coke producers, industrial customers, and electric utilities.
Executives
David J. Stetson director C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Daniel E. Horn officer: Executive Vice President-Sales C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Jason E. Whitehead officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Roger Lee Nicholson officer: EVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O CONTURA ENERGY, INC., 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. BLVD., BRISTOL TN 37620
Baker De Neufville Joanna director 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR BLVD, BRISTOL TN 37620
Michael Gorzynski director, other: See Remarks 595 MADISON AVE, FLOOR 29, NEW YORK NY 10022
Continental General Holdings Llc other: See Remarks 11001 LAKELINE BLVD., STE. 120, AUSTIN TX 78717
Mg Capital Management Ltd. other: See Remarks C/O CAMPBELLS LLP, FLOOR 4, WILLOW HOUSE, CRICKET SQUARE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9010
Percy Rockdale Llc other: See Remarks 595 MADISON AVENUE, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Continental Insurance Group, Ltd. other: See Remarks 11001 LAKELINE BLVD., STE. 120, AUSTIN TX 78717
Continental General Insurance Co other: See Remarks 11001 LAKELINE BLVD., STE. 120, AUSTIN TX 78717
Joshua Todd Munsey officer: Chief Financial Officer 340 MARTIN LUTHER KING BOULEVARD, BRISTOL TN 37620
Elizabeth Anne Fessenden director 1137 WEST AVENUE, RICHMOND VA 23220
Scott D. Vogel director 885 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10075
Charles Andrew Eidson officer: Chief Financial Officer ONE ALPHA PLACE, P.O. BOX 16429, BRISTOL VA 24209

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (Alpha Metallurgical Resources) Headlines