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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Peter Lynch Fair Value : ¥243.63 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's PEG is 1. Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024 was ¥9.75. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is ¥243.63.

As of today (2024-05-01), Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's share price is ¥262.31. Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Peter Lynch fair value is ¥243.63. Therefore, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.08.


The historical rank and industry rank for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

SHSE:600809' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.78   Max: 14.65
Current: 1.08


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co was 14.65. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.78.


SHSE:600809's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
55.41% of 74 companies
in the Beverages - Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.205 vs SHSE:600809: 1.08

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.45 62.95 108.53 165.70 214.13

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 188.48 201.83 213.48 214.13 243.63

Competitive Comparison of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value

For the Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries subindustry, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.



Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *9.745
=243.63

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was ¥9.75.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co  (SHSE:600809) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=262.31/243.63
=1.08

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms

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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Xinghua Village, Fenyang County, Shanxi, Lvliang, CHN, 032205
Shanxi Fen Wine, or Fen Wine, is a typical light-flavored baijiu, featuring a fresher, lighter, and purer-taste compared with jiang-flavored and rich-flavored spirits. The company offers a comprehensive product portfolio, covering sub-premium, mid- to high range, and low-end products. The Fen series contributed about 90% of the company's sales revenue in 2022, including sub-premium brand Qinghua, midrange products Panama and Laobaifen, and low-end Bofen. The State-Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of Shanxi province controls 51% of Fen Wine.

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co (SHSE:600809) Headlines

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