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Aurubis AG (XTER:NDA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : €100.66 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is €100.66. The stock price of Aurubis AG is €74.20. Therefore, Aurubis AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

XTER:NDA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.36   Med: 0.74   Max: 1.2
Current: 0.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aurubis AG was 1.20. The lowest was 0.36. And the median was 0.74.

XTER:NDA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
79.25% of 1894 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.54 vs XTER:NDA: 0.74

Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aurubis AG Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.28 90.93 115.89 148.43 133.43

Aurubis AG Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 134.24 138.43 128.21 133.43 100.66

Competitive Comparison of Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Metal Fabrication subindustry, Aurubis AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aurubis AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Aurubis AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aurubis AG's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aurubis AG's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = €66.53.

Aurubis AG's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.460794041474*66.53184+4284.213*0.8)/43.609
=100.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aurubis AG  (XTER:NDA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aurubis AG's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=74.20/100.65522335849
=0.74

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aurubis AG Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Aurubis AG (XTER:NDA) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hovestrasse 50, Hamburg, BY, DEU, 20539
Aurubis AG produces copper, using raw materials which include copper concentrates and recycling materials. The company also produces precious metals such as gold and silver and a range of other products, including sulfuric acid and iron silicate, as byproducts of copper production. Revenue is predominantly generated through the sale of continuous cast wire rods, copper cathodes, precious metals and continuous cast shapes, used in the manufacture of cables and wires which are used in electrical applications. It has two segments Multimetal Recycling and Custom Smelting & Products which is the key revenue generating segment. The company is based in Germany and has production sites across Europe and the United States.
Executives
Dr. Heiko Arnold Board of Directors

Aurubis AG (XTER:NDA) Headlines

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