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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (TSE:4063) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円2,966.48 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円2,966.48. The stock price of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co is 円5906.00. Therefore, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:4063' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.88   Med: 1.36   Max: 8.15
Current: 1.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co was 8.15. The lowest was 0.88. And the median was 1.36.

TSE:4063's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.48% of 1068 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.215 vs TSE:4063: 1.99

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Annual Data
Trend Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1,977.37 1,972.89 2,505.27 524.55 2,966.48

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 524.55 - - - 2,966.48

Competitive Comparison of Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Chemicals subindustry, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円267,246.57.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*267246.57142857+4262761*0.8)/2007.255
=2,966.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co  (TSE:4063) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5906.00/2966.4841401895
=1.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (TSE:4063) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6-1, Ohtemachi 2-chome, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0004
Shin-Etsu Chemical Co Ltd is a Japan-based company primarily engaged in chemical business. The company operates in six business segments namely Poly Vinyl Chloride, Specialty Chemicals, Silicon, Semiconductor Silicon, Electronic and Functional Materials and Diversified business. It derives majority of revenue through Poly Vinyl Chloride segment which manufactures and sells vinyl chloride, caustic soda products, chloromethane and methanol. The group is also involved in manufacturing and selling of various other chemical products such as Polyvinyl alcohol, Synthetic pheromones, Rare-earth magnets for electronics industry and general applications, Photoresists, Photomask blanks and others. Geographically, it operates from the market of Japan and its business is amplifying across the globe.

Shin-Etsu Chemical Co (TSE:4063) Headlines

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