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Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : 円2,670.87 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Welcia Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Welcia Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is 円2,670.87. The stock price of Welcia Holdings Co is 円2295.00. Therefore, Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Welcia Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:3141' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.86   Med: 1.43   Max: 1.88
Current: 0.86

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Welcia Holdings Co was 1.88. The lowest was 0.86. And the median was 1.43.

TSE:3141's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
65.15% of 307 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.31 vs TSE:3141: 0.86

Welcia Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Welcia Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Welcia Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Welcia Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,116.68 2,292.14 2,249.98 2,629.25 2,670.87

Welcia Holdings Co Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2,629.25 - - - 2,670.87

Competitive Comparison of Welcia Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Pharmaceutical Retailers subindustry, Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Welcia Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Welcia Holdings Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = 円27,336.14.

Welcia Holdings Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Feb24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.228282734574*27336.142857143+237710*0.8)/206.591
=2,670.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Welcia Holdings Co  (TSE:3141) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Welcia Holdings Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2295.00/2670.87252875
=0.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Welcia Holdings Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2-2-15 Outside Kanda, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 101-0021
Welcia Holdings Co Ltd operates drug retail stores that sell pharmaceuticals, health and beauty products, baby supplies, health supplements, sanitation items, groceries, and personal-care products. The company generates the bulk of its revenue through sales of over-the-counter drugs and food products. Welcia is involved in pharmaceutical dispensing, blood testing, and earthquake reconstruction assistance. The highest concentration of sales remains in the Kanto region of Japan. Welcia also provides nursing services through its long-term care enterprise.

Welcia Holdings Co (TSE:3141) Headlines

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