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Ganfeng Lithium Group Co (SZSE:002460) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ¥15.95 (As of May. 02, 2024)


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What is Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-02), Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ¥15.95. The stock price of Ganfeng Lithium Group Co is ¥35.26. Therefore, Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SZSE:002460' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.21   Med: 14.17   Max: 88.14
Current: 2.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ganfeng Lithium Group Co was 88.14. The lowest was 2.21. And the median was 14.17.

SZSE:002460's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.72% of 1071 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.25 vs SZSE:002460: 2.21

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.59 4.11 7.20 24.13 15.95

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 24.13 19.40 16.78 18.43 15.95

Competitive Comparison of Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Chemicals subindustry, Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ¥-391.87.

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-391.8704+47034.107*0.8)/1993.411
=15.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ganfeng Lithium Group Co  (SZSE:002460) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=35.26/15.95408658935
=2.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ganfeng Lithium Group Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ganfeng Lithium Group Co (SZSE:002460) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
248 Queen’s Road East, 40th Floor, Dah Sing Financial Centre, Wanchai, Hong Kong, HKG
Founded in 2000, Ganfeng is the world's third largest and China's largest lithium compounds producer and the world's largest lithium metals producer in terms of production capacity. The company offers five major categories of more than 40 lithium compounds and metals products, which is one of the most comprehensive product offerings among the suppliers globally. Starting as a midstream manufacturer of lithium compounds and lithium metals, Ganfeng has successfully expanded into a vertically integrated business model with operations along the critical stages of the industry value chain, including upstream lithium extraction, midstream lithium compounds and metals processing, and downstream lithium battery production and recycling.

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co (SZSE:002460) Headlines

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