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Societal CDMO (Societal CDMO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-0.99 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Societal CDMO Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Societal CDMO's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.99. The stock price of Societal CDMO is $1.10. Therefore, Societal CDMO's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Societal CDMO's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

SCTL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Drug Manufacturers industry.
Industry Median: 1.525
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Societal CDMO Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Societal CDMO's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Societal CDMO Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Societal CDMO Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.37 -7.53 -2.30 -2.02 -0.99

Societal CDMO Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.02 -1.61 -1.44 -1.18 -0.99

Competitive Comparison of Societal CDMO's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic subindustry, Societal CDMO's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Societal CDMO's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Societal CDMO's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Societal CDMO's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Societal CDMO Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Societal CDMO's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-15.80.

Societal CDMO's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-15.79808+58.663*0.8)/104.851
=-0.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Societal CDMO  (NAS:SCTL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Societal CDMO's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.10/-0.98685635941651
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Societal CDMO Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Societal CDMO (Societal CDMO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1 E. Uwchlan Avenue, Suite 112, Exton, PA, USA, 19341
Societal CDMO Inc is a bi-coastal contract development and manufacturing organization. It offers capabilities spanning pre-Investigational New Drug development to commercial manufacturing and packaging for a wide range of therapeutic dosage forms primarily focused on small molecules. The company also provides therapeutic development, end-to-end regulatory support, clinical and commercial manufacturing, aseptic fill/finish, lyophilization, packaging, and logistics services to the global pharmaceutical market.
Executives
Bryan M. Reasons director C/O IMPAX LABORATORIES, INC., 30831 HUNTWOOD AVENUE, HAYWARD CA 94544
Elena Cant director C/O SOCIETAL CDMO, INC., 1 E. UWCHLAN AVENUE, SUITE 112, EXTON PA 19341
Enloe J David Jr director, officer: Chief Executive Officer
James Charles Miller director 490 LAPP ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
Wayne Weisman director 490 LAPP ROAD, MALVERN PA 19355
William Ashton director C/O HARRISON CONSULTING GROUP, PO BOX 283, NEWTOWN SQUARE PA 19073
Winston J Churchill director C/O SCP PARTNERS, SUITE 300, 1200 LIBERTY RIDGE DRIVE, WAYNE PA 19087
Awm Investment Company, Inc. 10 percent owner 527 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 2600, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mathew Paul Arens director, 10 percent owner C/O FIRST LIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT, LLC, 3300 EDINBOROUGH WAY, SUITE 201, EDINA MN 55435
First Light Asset Management, Llc director, 10 percent owner 3300 EDINBOROUGH WAY, SUITE 201, EDINA MN 55435
Laura L. Parks director C/O RECRO PHARMA, INC., 490 LAPP ROAD, MALVERN PA 29355
Michael Berelowitz director 415 EAST 37TH STREET, APT 36C, NEW YORK NY 10016
Ryan David Lake officer: Chief Financial Officer KENSEY NASH CORPORATION, 735 PENNSYLVANIA DRIVE, EXTON PA 19341
Scp Vitalife Partners (israel) Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner SUITE 190, 7 GREAT VALLEY PARKWAY, MALVERN PA 19355
Scp Vitalife Partners Ii Lp 10 percent owner SUITE 190, 7 GREAT VALLEY PARKWAY, MALVERN PA 19355