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Thor Industries (Thor Industries) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $188.87 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Thor Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $188.87. The stock price of Thor Industries is $101.20. Therefore, Thor Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.

The historical rank and industry rank for Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

THO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 0.97   Max: 1.88
Current: 0.54

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Thor Industries was 1.88. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 0.97.

THO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
77.91% of 892 companies
in the Vehicles & Parts industry
Industry Median: 1.05 vs THO: 0.54

Thor Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Thor Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Thor Industries Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 104.04 123.73 138.57 173.66 202.98

Thor Industries Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 175.50 186.51 202.98 194.20 188.87

Competitive Comparison of Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Thor Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Thor Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Thor Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Thor Industries's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Thor Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Thor Industries's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $473.11.

Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.761153476909*473.11392+3936.418*0.8)/53.651
=188.87

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Thor Industries  (NYSE:THO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Thor Industries's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=101.20/188.86584751788
=0.54

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Thor Industries Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Thor Industries's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Thor Industries (Thor Industries) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
601 East Beardsley Avenue, Elkhart, IN, USA, 46514-3305
Based in Elkhart, Indiana, Thor Industries manufactures Class A, Class B, and Class C motor homes along with travel trailers and fifth wheel towables across over 30 brands. Through the acquisition of Erwin Hymer in 2019, the company expanded its geographic footprint and now produces various motorized and towable recreational vehicles for Europe, including motorcaravans, campervans, urban vehicles, caravans, and other RV-related products and services. The company has also begun generating revenue through aftermarket component parts through the acquisition of Airxcel in 2021, however, this is still a nascent part of the business as it accounts for less than 10% of total sales. In fiscal 2023, the company wholesaled 187,015 units and generated over $11.1 billion in revenue.
Executives
W. Todd Woelfer officer: Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Sec. PO BOX 3300, ELKHART IN 46515
Kenneth D Julian officer: VP of Admin. and HR 3080 WINDSOR CT., ELKHART IN 46514
Peter Busch Orthwein director, officer: Exec. Chairman of the Board ONE LAGAYETTE PLACE, GREENWICH CT 06830
James L Ziemer director C/O HARLEY DAVIDSON, 3700 W. JUNEAU AVE, MILWAUKEE WI 53208
Amelia Huntington director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Trevor Q. Gasper officer: VP, General Counsel and Sec. 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514
Laurel Hurd director C/O NEWELL BRANDS INC., 6655 PEACHTREE DUNWOODY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30328
Christina Hennington director 1000 NICOLLET MALL, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
J Allen Kosowsky director C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 419 WEST PIKE STREET, JACKSON CENTER OH 45334-0629
Kelley William J. Jr director USG CORPORATION, 550 WEST ADAMS STREET, CHICAGO IL 60661
Josef Hjelmaker officer: Chief Innovation Officer C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 E. BEARDSLEY AVE., ELKHART IN 46514-3305
Christopher J Klein director 520 LAKE COOK ROAD, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Jan Suwinski director 9450 SEWARD RD, C/O OHIO CASUALTY GROUP, FAIRFIELD OH 45014
Robert W Martin director, officer: Chief Exec. Officer & Pres. C/O KEYSTONE RV COMPANY, 2642 HACKBERRY DRIVE, GOSHEN IN 46526
Troy James officer: SVP International Operations C/O THOR INDUSTRIES, INC., 601 EAST BEARDSLEY AVENUE, ELKHART IN 46514-3305