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Fair Isaac (Fair Isaac) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $178.66 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $178.66. The stock price of Fair Isaac is $1120.945. Therefore, Fair Isaac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 6.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FICO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.84   Med: 3   Max: 6.69
Current: 6.29

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Fair Isaac was 6.69. The lowest was 0.84. And the median was 3.00.

FICO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
89.06% of 1262 companies
in the Software industry
Industry Median: 1.59 vs FICO: 6.29

Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Fair Isaac Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.56 116.71 131.45 139.36 173.42

Fair Isaac Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 146.41 153.67 163.16 173.42 178.66

Competitive Comparison of Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Software - Application subindustry, Fair Isaac's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fair Isaac's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Fair Isaac's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fair Isaac's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Fair Isaac's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $364.18.

Fair Isaac's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*364.1848+-725.765/0.8)/25.219
=178.66

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fair Isaac  (NYSE:FICO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Fair Isaac's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1120.945/178.65681324973
=6.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fair Isaac Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Fair Isaac (Fair Isaac) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5 West Mendenhall, Suite 105, Bozeman, MT, USA, 59715
Founded in 1956, Fair Isaac Corporation is a leading applied analytics company. Fair Isaac is primarily known for its FICO credit scores, which is a widely used industry benchmark to determine the creditworthiness of an individual consumer. The firm's credit scores business accounts for most of the firm's profits and consists of business-to-business and business-to-consumer offerings. In addition to scores, Fair Isaac also sells software primarily to financial institutions for areas such as analytics, decision-making, customer workflows, and fraud.
Executives
Steven P. Weber officer: Interim Chief Financial Ofc. 5 WEST MENDENHALL, SUITE 105, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Eva Manolis director C/O SHUTTERFLY, INC., 2800 BRIDGE PARKWAY, REDWOOD CITY CA 94065
David A Rey director 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Michael S Leonard officer: CAO and Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Joanna Rees director LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET SUITE 100, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Braden R Kelly director 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Marc F Mcmorris director 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
James M Wehmann officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Henry Tayloe Stansbury director C/O COUPA SOFTWARE INC., 1855 S. GRANT STREET, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Nikhil Behl officer: Executive Vice President 601 108TH AVENUE NE, SUITE 1200, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Stephanie Covert officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DR., SAN JOSE CA 95110
James Kirsner director 5858 HORTON STREET, SUITE 350, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Thomas A. Bowers officer: Executive Vice President 181 METRO DR., #600, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Richard Deal officer: Vice President 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110
Mark R Scadina officer: V.P., General Counsel & Sec. 181 METRO DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95110

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