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Indian Oil (NSE:IOC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : ₹92.24 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Indian Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-05-01), Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is ₹92.24. The stock price of Indian Oil is ₹168.85. Therefore, Indian Oil's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NSE:IOC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.53   Med: 0.88   Max: 93.09
Current: 1.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Indian Oil was 93.09. The lowest was 0.53. And the median was 0.88.

NSE:IOC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
80.97% of 678 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.83 vs NSE:IOC: 1.83

Indian Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Indian Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Indian Oil Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 123.06 81.95 115.93 101.36 92.24

Indian Oil Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - 92.24 - -

Competitive Comparison of Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Indian Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Indian Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Indian Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Indian Oil's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Indian Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Indian Oil's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = ₹12,522.86.

Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(12.184026879804*12522.857142857+1397202.4*0.8)/13771.561
=92.24

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Indian Oil  (NSE:IOC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Indian Oil's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=168.85/92.24377309446
=1.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Indian Oil Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Indian Oil's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Indian Oil (NSE:IOC) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
J.B. Tito Marg, 3079/3, Sadiq Nagar, New Delhi, IND, 110 049
Indian Oil Corp Ltd conducts business across the energy value chain as India's national oil company. The Petroleum Products business generates the majority of the group's revenue. Indian Oil pursues exploration and production opportunities both domestically and internationally. Sale of Petrochemicals , Other operating segment of the Corporation comprises; Gas, Oil & Gas Exploration Activities, Explosives & Cryogenic Business and Wind Mill & Solar Power Generation. A network of pipelines in India not only transport oil from company fields but also to and from its refineries. The pipeline network spans across India and can move various petroleum products. The firm's refinery operations include a host of technologies for processing oil and gas to meet the needs of a diverse client base.

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