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Herc Holdings (Herc Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-24.97 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Herc Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-24.97. The stock price of Herc Holdings is $152.27. Therefore, Herc Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 11 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Herc Holdings was 363.24. The lowest was 15.80. And the median was 189.52.

HRI's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.935
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Herc Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Herc Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Herc Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -14.25 9.91 -18.43 -33.88

Herc Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -23.63 -36.41 -43.75 -33.88 -24.97

Competitive Comparison of Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Herc Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Herc Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Herc Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Herc Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Herc Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Herc Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-118.11.

Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*-118.112+1308*0.8)/28.400
=-24.97

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herc Holdings  (NYSE:HRI) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Herc Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=152.27/-24.966820697427
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Herc Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Herc Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Herc Holdings (Herc Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
27500 Riverview Center Boulevard, Bonita Springs, FL, USA, 34134
Herc Holdings is an equipment rental company that was spun out of Hertz Global in 2016. It is currently the third-largest equipment rental company (4% market share) in North America, after United Rentals and Sunbelt Rentals, with a fleet size of $6.2 billion. It serves commercial and residential construction customers, the environmental sector, industrial entities, and entertainment production companies. During much of its 50-year-plus history, the company has rented equipment such as aerial lifts to its customers for intermittent use. More recently, it has broadened its catalog to include a host of specialty items. Separately, Herc Holdings' strategy now incorporates long-term rentals to industrial customers where Herc maintains its own staff at the customer site.
Executives
Mark Alan Schumacher officer: VP, CAO and Controller 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Lawrence Harris Silber director, officer: President & CEO 7 FOX HOLLOW COURT, FLEMINGTON NJ 08822
Christian J Cunningham officer: SVP & Chief HR Officer C/O HERC HOLDINGS INC., 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Aaron Birnbaum officer: SVP & Chief Operating Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Carl C Icahn 10 percent owner C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH-1, SUNNY ISLES BEACH FL 33160
Mark Irion officer: SVP & CFO C/O NEFF CORPORATION, SUITE 400, 3750 N.W. 87TH AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33178
Hunter Clark Gary director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Steven D Miller director 16690 COLLINS AVENUE, PH, SUNNY ISLE BEACH FL 33160
Rakesh Sachdev director 3050 SPRUCE STREET, ST LOUIS MO 63103
James H Browning director 3760 JARDIN, HOUSTON TX 77005
Tamir Peres officer: SVP&Chief Information Officer 27500 RIVERVIEW CENTER BLVD., BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Andrew Teno director C/O FIR TREE INC., 55 WEST 46TH STREET, 29TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Shari L Burgess director
Andrew Langham director C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 16690 COLLINS AVE., PH, SUNNY ISLES FL 33160
Herbert L Henkel director C/O INGERSOLL-RAND COMPANY LIMITED, 155 CHESTNUT RIDGE ROAD, MONTVALE NJ 07645