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Haidilao International Holding (HKSE:06862) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$2.03 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Haidilao International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Haidilao International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$2.03. The stock price of Haidilao International Holding is HK$17.98. Therefore, Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 8.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Haidilao International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06862' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 7.86   Med: 445.52   Max: 880
Current: 8.86

During the past 9 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Haidilao International Holding was 880.00. The lowest was 7.86. And the median was 445.52.

HKSE:06862's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
91.28% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.455 vs HKSE:06862: 8.86

Haidilao International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Haidilao International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Haidilao International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Haidilao International Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only - - 0.02 2.03 -

Haidilao International Holding Semi-Annual Data
Dec15 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.02 - 2.03 - -

Competitive Comparison of Haidilao International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Haidilao International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Haidilao International Holding's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$1,444.06.

Haidilao International Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1444.0618571429+12607.585*0.8)/5415.000
=5.83

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Haidilao International Holding  (HKSE:06862) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Haidilao International Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=17.98/5.8261604324277
=3.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Haidilao International Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Haidilao International Holding (HKSE:06862) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 398 Yard, Zhongdong Road, 7th Floor, No. 1 Building, Dongxiaokou Town, Changping District, Beijing, CHN, 102218
Haidilao International is a Chinese hot pot restaurant operator that started in Sichuan in 1998. In 2022, the restaurant chain served over 276 million customers across more than the 1,300 stores it had in Greater China. With CNY 31 billion in 2022 systemwide sales, the firm is the second-largest restaurant company in China, behind Yum China (CNY 68 billion) but ahead of Xiabuxiabu and Jiumaojiu. All of Haidilao's restaurants are company-owned, as the firm is focusing more on the quality of its restaurants than quantity.Haidilao is known for serving Sichuan-style hot pot along with exceptional service. It's still looking to expand its store footprint, but expansion opportunities are now limited to only Greater China following the spinoff of Super Hi—the operator of Haidilao stores overseas.

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