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PICC Property and Casualty Co (HKSE:02328) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : HK$17.53 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is HK$17.53. The stock price of PICC Property and Casualty Co is HK$10.04. Therefore, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:02328' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.45   Max: 0.57
Current: 0.57

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of PICC Property and Casualty Co was 0.57. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.45.

HKSE:02328's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
57.54% of 391 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs HKSE:02328: 0.57

PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

PICC Property and Casualty Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.30 18.48 18.38 18.72 17.53

PICC Property and Casualty Co Quarterly Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 18.72 - - 17.53

Competitive Comparison of PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get PICC Property and Casualty Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = HK$19,408.93.

PICC Property and Casualty Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.6517283697394*19408.933+253122.31*0.8)/22242.000
=17.53

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PICC Property and Casualty Co  (HKSE:02328) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

PICC Property and Casualty Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=10.04/17.526643164395
=0.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


PICC Property and Casualty Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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PICC Property and Casualty Co (HKSE:02328) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Tower 2, No. 2 Jianguomenwai Avenue, Chaoyang District, Beijing, CHN, 100022
Headquartered in Beijing, PICC P&C is China's largest nonlife insurer, commanding over 33% market share in the country. It was founded by the People's Bank of China in 1949. The company is a flagship subsidiary of the PICC Group, a state-owned insurance group, which owns 69% of PICC P&C. The company offers a wide range of nonlife insurance products, including auto, commercial property, liability, credit and surety bond, accidents and health, energy and aerospace, and agricultural insurance.

PICC Property and Casualty Co (HKSE:02328) Headlines

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