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Citizens (Citizens) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $13.09 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Citizens Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.09. The stock price of Citizens is $2.08. Therefore, Citizens's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CIA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.14   Med: 0.34   Max: 0.5
Current: 0.16

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Citizens was 0.50. The lowest was 0.14. And the median was 0.34.

CIA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
94.9% of 392 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs CIA: 0.16

Citizens Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Citizens Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Citizens Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.00 19.87 18.86 14.76 13.09

Citizens Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.76 14.46 13.87 13.42 13.09

Competitive Comparison of Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Life subindustry, Citizens's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Citizens's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Citizens's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Citizens's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Citizens Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Citizens's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $55.38.

Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*55.38448+172.129*0.8)/50.783
=13.09

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Citizens  (NYSE:CIA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Citizens's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=2.08/13.094597061215
=0.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Citizens Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Citizens's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Citizens (Citizens) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
11815 Alterra Parkway, Suite 1500, Austin, TX, USA, 78758
Citizens Inc is an insurance holding company serving the life insurance needs of individuals in the United States. The company provides insurance benefits to residents in 32 U.S. states and more than 70 countries through its insurance subsidiaries. The company operates in two business segments namely the Life Insurance segment and the Home Service Insurance segment. The company majority generates revenues from Life Insurance segment.
Executives
James Keith Morgan director PO BOX 149151, AUSTIN TX 78714
Christopher W Claus director TRUECAR, INC., 120 BROADWAY, SUITE 200, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Jeffery P. Conklin officer: VP, CFO & Treasurer 2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FL, AUSTIN TX 78758
Gerald W Shields director, officer: President & CEO 11815 ALTERRA PARKWAY, SUITE 1500, AUSTIN TX 78758
Harvey J. Waite officer: VP, Chief Actuary 2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FLOOR, AUSTIN TX 78758
Mary Taylor director PO BOX 149151, AUSTIN TX 78714
Cynthia H Davis director PO BOX 149151, AUSTIN TX 78714
Davis Jerry Dodd Jr. director 11815 ALTERRA PARKWAY, SUITE 1500, AUSTIN TX 78758
Terry Sam Maness director 2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FL, AUSTIN TX 78758
Errol Dean Gage director 2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FL, AUSTIN TX 78758
Frank A Keating director 6100 N WESTERN AVENUE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73118
Mauldin Robert M Iii officer: VP, Chief Marketing Officer 2900 ESPERANZA CROSSING, 2ND FL, AUSTIN TX 78758
Sheryl L Kinlaw officer: Chief Legal Officer 11815 ALTERRA PKWY, FLOOR 15, AUSTIN TX 78758
Sloan Robert B Jr director 11815 ALTERRA PKWY, SUITE 1500, AUSTIN TX 78758
Fred L. Quatro director 2901 PENNY LANE, EULESS TX 76039

Citizens (Citizens) Headlines

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