Ares Capital (Ares Capital) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $2.53 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Ares Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Ares Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $2.53. The stock price of Ares Capital is $20.78. Therefore, Ares Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 8.2.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ares Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ARCC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.88 Med: 4.14 Max: 12.19
Current: 8.21

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ares Capital was 12.19. The lowest was 2.88. And the median was 4.14.

ARCC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
97.1% of 931 companies
in the Asset Management industry
Industry Median: 0.92 vs ARCC: 8.21

Ares Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ares Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ares Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ares Capital Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

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4.13

4.51

-3.32

-6.51

2.53

Ares Capital Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-6.51	-3.37	3.29	3.45	2.53

Competitive Comparison of Ares Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Asset Management subindustry, Ares Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ares Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Ares Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ares Capital's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.

Ares Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ares Capital's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-782.72.

Ares Capital's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF	=	(Growth Multiple	*	Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)	+	Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)	*	0.8)	/	Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
	=	(9.5203515959648	*	-782.72	+	11201	*	0.8)	/	596.000
	=	2.53

Ares Capital (NAS:ARCC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ares Capital's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF	=	Share Price	/	Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
	=	20.78	/	2.5319301993396
	=	8.21

Ares Capital Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Ares Capital (Ares Capital) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Ares Capital Corp (NAS:ARCC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

9A2:Germany 9A2:Germany 9A2:Germany

Address

245 Park Avenue, 44th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10167

Website

https://www.arescapitalcorp.com

Ares Capital Corp is a United States-based closed-ended specialty finance company. Its investment objective is to generate both current income and capital appreciation through debt and equity investments. The company focuses on investing primarily in U.S. middle-market companies with investment opportunities as well as in larger companies. Its portfolio comprises of first lien senior secured loans, second lien senior secured loans, and mezzanine debt (subordinated unsecured loan), which may include equity components that are diversified by industry and sector. The company may invest in preferred and common equity investments to a lesser proportion. Its revenue mainly consists of interest and dividend income received from the investment made.

Executives

Michael Kort Schnabel	officer: Co-President	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Penelope F Roll	officer: Chief Financial Officer
Jana Markowicz	officer: Chief Operating Officer	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Mary Beth Henson	director	130 EAST 75TH STREET, APT 7C, NEW YORK NY 10021
Steven B. Mckeever	director	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Michael J Arougheti	officer: President	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Michael Lewis Smith	officer: Executive Vice President	245 PARK AVENUE, 44TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Joshua M Bloomstein	officer: Gen. Counsel, VP & Asst. Secr.	C/O ARES MANAGEMENT LLC, 280 PARK AVENUE, 22ND FL EAST, NEW YORK NY 10017
R. Kipp Deveer	officer: President	245 PARK AVENUE, 44TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Eric B Siegel	director	123 W MILLS, EL PASO TX 79901
Michael K Parks	director	123 W MILLS, EL PASO TX 79901
Robert L Rosen	director	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Steve Bartlett	director	7711 CARONDELET AVE, SUITE 800, ST LOUIS MO 63105
Kelly Daniel G Jr	director	2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 12TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Bates Ann Torre	director	300 CONTINENTAL DRIVE, NEWARK DE 19713