3M Co (MMM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $115.95 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is 3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), 3M Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $115.95.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

3M Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for 3M Co is 20.80%.

The historical rank and industry rank for 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of 3M Co was 1.35. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 0.79.

MMM's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Conglomerates industry.
Industry Median: 0.64
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

3M Co Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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200.38

218.35

223.93

154.77

3M Co Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															154.77	144.41	140.02	129.71	-

Competitive Comparison of 3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Conglomerates subindustry, 3M Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

3M Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, 3M Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 3M Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 7.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> 3M Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 7.90%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 7.90%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $8.316.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

3M Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.079)/(1+0.11) = 0.97207207207207
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

8.316

13.9433

115.95

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(115.95	-	91.83)	/	115.95
	=	20.80 %

3M Co (NYSE:MMM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

3M Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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3M Co (MMM) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Conglomerates » 3M Co (NYSE:MMM) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

MMM:Mexico 1MMM:Italy MMMd:UK MMM:Germany MMM:Germany MMM:Germany MMM:Germany MMM:Chile MMM:Switzerland MMMC34:Brazil MMM:Austria MMM:Argentina

Address

3M Center, St. Paul, MN, USA, 55144

Website

https://www.3m.com

3M is a multinational conglomerate that has operated since 1902, when it was known as Minnesota Mining and Manufacturing. The company is well known for its research and development laboratory and it leverages its science and technology across multiple product categories. As of 2020, 3M is organized into four business segments: safety and industrial, transportation and electronics, healthcare, and consumer. Nearly 50% of the company's revenue comes from outside the Americas, with the safety and industrial segment constituting a plurality of net sales. Many of the company's 60,000-plus products touch and concern a variety of consumers and end markets.

Executives

Thomas W Sweet	director	ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682
Bryan C Hanson	officer: Group Pres & CEO Health Care	ZIMMER BIOMET HOLDINGS, 345 E. MAIN STREET, WARSAW IN 46580
Audrey Choi	director	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BUILDING 220-9E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Eric D. Hammes	officer: VP, Corp Controller & CAO	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Goralski Christian T Jr	officer: Group President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BUILDING 220-9E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Pedro Pizarro	director	2244 WALNUT GROVE AVENUE, ROSEMEAD CA 91770
Anne H Chow	director	2200 WEST PARKWAY BLVD., SALT LAKE CITY UT 84119
Kevin H Rhodes	officer: EVP & Chief Legal Officer	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220-09-E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Chavez Rodriguez Beatriz Karina	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER BLDG 220-09-E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
John Patrick Banovetz	officer: Sr Vice President	3M CENTER, MAPLEWOOD MN 55144
Zoe L Dickson	officer: Executive Vice President	3M COMPANY, 3M CENTER, BLDG 220 09 E-02, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000
Michael G. Vale	officer: Executive Vice President	3M CENTER OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, ST PAUL MN 551441000
Theresa E Reinseth	officer: Vice President/CAO	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Mojdeh Poul	officer: Executive Vice President	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST PAUL MN 55144-1000
Michael F Roman	officer: Senior Vice President	3M COMPANY OFFICE OF GENERAL COUNSEL, 3M CENTER, ST. PAUL MN 55144-1000