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Eaton (ETN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $125.54 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Eaton Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Eaton's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $125.54.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Eaton's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Eaton is -158.32%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Eaton's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

ETN' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.62   Med: 0.75   Max: 2.58
Current: 2.58

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Eaton was 2.58. The lowest was 0.62. And the median was 0.75.

ETN's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
83.62% of 409 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.1 vs ETN: 2.58

Eaton Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Eaton's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Eaton Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Eaton Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 127.12 - - - 125.54

Eaton Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 125.54

Competitive Comparison of Eaton's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Eaton's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Eaton's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Eaton's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Eaton's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Eaton Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.78%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 6.80%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Eaton's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 6.80%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 6.80%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $8.199.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Eaton's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.068)/(1+0.09) = 0.97981651376147
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=8.199*15.3111
=125.54

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (125.54 - 324.30) / 125.54
= -158.32 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Eaton  (NYSE:ETN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Eaton Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Eaton's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Eaton (ETN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
30 Pembroke Road, Eaton House, Dublin, IRL, D04 Y0C2
Eaton is a diversified power management company operating for over 100 years. The company operates through various segments, including electrical Americas, electrical global, aerospace, vehicle, and eMobility. Eaton's portfolio can broadly be divided into two halves. One part of its portfolio is housed under its industrial sector umbrella, which serves a large variety of end markets like commercial vehicles, general aviation, and trucks. The other portion is Eaton's electrical sector portfolio, which serves data centers, utilities, and the residential end market, among others. While the company receives favorable tax treatment with its Ireland domicile, most of its operations are in the U.S.
Executives
Sternadt Paulo Ruiz officer: See remarks below 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Thomas B Okray officer: See Remarks below. 5008 AIRPORT ROAD NW, ROANOKE VA 24012
Szmagala Taras G. Jr. officer: See remarks below C/O EATON CORPORATION PLC, 1000 EATON BOULEVARD, CLEVELAND OH 44122
Craig Arnold director, officer: See Remarks below. EATON CENTER, 1111 SUPERIOR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Peter Denk officer: See remarks below C/O EATON CORPORATION PLC, 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Heath B. Monesmith officer: See Remarks below. 600 TRAVIS, SUITE 5600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Nandakumar Cheruvatath officer: See Remarks below 1000EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Michael Yelton officer: See remarks below C/O EATON CORPORATION PLC, 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Joao V Faria officer: See Remarks below. 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Brian S Brickhouse officer: See Remarks below. 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122
Daniel Roy Hopgood officer: See Remarks below. 2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084-7186
Deborah L Mccoy director CONTINENTAL AIRLINES INC., 1600 SMITH ST. HQS FL, HOUSTON TX 77002
Boise April Miller officer: See Remarks below. C/O INTEL CORPORATION, 2200 MISSION COLLEGE BLVD, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Christopher M Connor director THE SHERWIN WILLIAMS CO, 101 W. PROSPECT AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44115-1027
Dorothy C Thompson director 1000 EATON BLVD., CLEVELAND OH 44122

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