Becton Dickinson (Becton Dickinson) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $101.97 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Becton Dickinson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Becton Dickinson's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $101.97.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Becton Dickinson's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Becton Dickinson is -127.08%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Becton Dickinson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BDX' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.74 Med: 1.71 Max: 5.28
Current: 2.27

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Becton Dickinson was 5.28. The lowest was 0.74. And the median was 1.71.

BDX's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
72.62% of 84 companies
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry
Industry Median: 1.59 vs BDX: 2.27

Becton Dickinson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Becton Dickinson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Becton Dickinson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Becton Dickinson Annual Data

Trend

Sep14

Sep15

Sep16

Sep17

Sep18

Sep19

Sep20

Sep21

Sep22

Sep23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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137.41

106.71

135.57

78.72

109.24

Becton Dickinson Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															76.33	80.77	99.68	109.24	110.46

Competitive Comparison of Becton Dickinson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Becton Dickinson's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Becton Dickinson's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Becton Dickinson's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Becton Dickinson's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Becton Dickinson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Becton Dickinson's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 5.90%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5.90%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $8.3349.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Becton Dickinson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.059)/(1+0.11) = 0.95405405405405
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

8.3349

12.2346

101.97

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(101.97	-	231.55)	/	101.97
	=	-127.08 %

Becton Dickinson (NYSE:BDX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Becton Dickinson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Becton Dickinson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Becton Dickinson (Becton Dickinson) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Becton Dickinson & Co (NYSE:BDX) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

BDX:Mexico 1BDX:Italy BOX:Germany BOX:Germany BOX:Germany B1DX34:Brazil

Address

1 Becton Drive, Franklin Lakes, NJ, USA, 07417-1880

Website

https://www.bd.com

Becton, Dickinson is the world's largest manufacturer and distributor of medical surgical products, such as needles, syringes, and sharps-disposal units. The company also manufactures pre-filled devices, diagnostic instruments and reagents, as well as flow cytometry and cell-imaging systems. BD Medical is nearly half of the total business, while BD Life Sciences (26% of estimated 2023 revenue) and BD Interventional (25%) account for the remainder. International revenue accounts for 43% of the company's business.

Executives

Michael David Garrison	officer: EVP and President Medical	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Richard Byrd	officer: EVP & President Interventional	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Claire Fraser	director	C/O BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07465
David Hickey	officer: EVP & President, Life Sciences	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Joanne Waldstreicher	director	C/O STRUCTURE THERAPEUTICS INC., 611 GATEWAY BLVD, SUITE 223, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Michelle Quinn	officer: EVP and Acting General Counsel	1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
David Shan	officer: EVP, Integrated Supply Chain	1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Roland Goette	officer: EVP and President, EMEA	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Christopher Delorefice	officer: EVP & CFO	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Polen Thomas E Jr	officer: Executive Vice President	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Samrat S. Khichi	officer: EVP and General Counsel	C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873
Rishi Grover	officer: EVP and Chief ISC Officer	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Pavan Kumar Mocherla	officer: EVP and President Greater Asia	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
James C Lim	officer: Executive Vice President	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417
Thomas J Spoerel	officer: VP Controller & Chief Acct Off	BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY, 1 BECTON DRIVE, FRANKLIN LAKES NJ 07417