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VOXX International (VOXX International) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $4.90 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is VOXX International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), VOXX International's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $4.90.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

VOXX International's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for VOXX International is -31.02%.

The industry rank for VOXX International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

VOXX's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.985
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

VOXX International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for VOXX International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

VOXX International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

VOXX International Annual Data
Trend Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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VOXX International Quarterly Data
Feb19 May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of VOXX International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, VOXX International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


VOXX International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, VOXX International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where VOXX International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



VOXX International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> VOXX International's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -120.10%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.425.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

VOXX International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.425*11.5406
=4.90

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(4.9-6.42)/4.9
=-31.02 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


VOXX International  (NAS:VOXX) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


VOXX International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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VOXX International (VOXX International) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2351 J. Lawson Boulevard, Orlando, FL, USA, 32824
VOXX International Corp manufacturer and distributor in the Automotive Electronics, Consumer Electronics, and Biometrics industries. The consumer electronic products primarily consist of finished goods sold to retail and commercial customers, consisting of premium audio and other consumer electronic products. Automotive products, some of which are manufactured by the Company, are sold both to OEM and aftermarket customers. Biometric products, primarily consisting of finished goods, are sold to retail and commercial customers.
Executives
Beat Kahli 10 percent owner AVALON GROUP INTERNATIONAL, LLC, 3801 AVALON PARK EAST BLVD., STE 400, ORLANDO FL 32828
Steven R Downing director 14814 CREEK EDGE DRIVE, HOLLAND MI 49424
Peter A Lesser director C/O AUDIOVOX CORP, 180 MARCUS BLVD., HAUPPAUGE NY 11788-0518
Patrick M Lavelle director, officer: Senior Vice President 150 MARCUS BLVD, PO BOX 18000, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
John J Shalam director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and C.E.O. 180 MARCUS BLVD, PO BOX 12427, HAUPPAGE NY 11788-0518
Holding Ag Kahli 10 percent owner RIESBACHSTRASSE 57, ZURICH V8 8008
Edward David Mas officer: President Voxx Automotive Corp C/O VOXX INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 180 MARCUS BOULEVARD, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
John Jr Adamovich director 180 MARCUS BLVD, C/O VOXX INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Kreuch Paul C Jr director C/O 180 MARCUS BLVD., PO BOX 12427, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788-0518
Ari Shalam director C/O AUDIOVOX CORP, 150 MARCUS BLVD, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Denise W. Gibson director 140 SCHOOL STREET, LIBERTYVILLE IL 60048
Oscar Leonard Bernardo officer: COO Klipsch Group Inc. C/O VOXX INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 180 MARCUS BLVD, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Ian Sebastian Geise officer: President Voxx Accessories C/O VOXX INTERNATIONAL CORPORATION, 180 MARCUS BLVD, HAUPPAUGE NY 11788
Michael F Klipsch officer: Pres. Global Operations of KGI 180 MARCUS BOULEVARD, C/O AUDIOVOX CORPORATION, HAUPPAUGE X1 11788
Ludwig Geis officer: CEO VOXX Hirschmann Corp STUTTGARTER STRASSE 45 - 51, NECKARTENZLINGEN 2M 72654