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Coinbase Global (Coinbase Global) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $42.63 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Coinbase Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Coinbase Global's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $42.63.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Coinbase Global's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Coinbase Global is -454.35%.

The industry rank for Coinbase Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

COIN's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 0.91
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Coinbase Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coinbase Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coinbase Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Coinbase Global Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
- - - - -

Coinbase Global Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Coinbase Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Financial Data & Stock Exchanges subindustry, Coinbase Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Coinbase Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Coinbase Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coinbase Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Coinbase Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Coinbase Global's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was -40.50%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $3.694.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Coinbase Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.694*11.5406
=42.63

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(42.63-236.32)/42.63
=-454.35 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Coinbase Global  (NAS:COIN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Coinbase Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Coinbase Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Coinbase Global (Coinbase Global) Business Description

Address
c/o The Corporation Trust Company, 1209 Orange Street, Wilmington, DE, USA, 19801
Founded in 2012, Coinbase is the leading cryptocurrency exchange platform in the United States. The company intends to be the safe and regulation-compliant point of entry for retail investors and institutions into the cryptocurrency economy. Users can establish an account directly with the firm, instead of using an intermediary, and many choose to allow Coinbase to act as a custodian for their cryptocurrency, giving the company breadth beyond that of a traditional financial exchange. While the company still generates the majority of its revenue from transaction fees charged to its retail customers, Coinbase uses internal investment and acquisitions to expand into adjacent businesses, such as prime brokerage and data analytics.
Executives
Gokul Rajaram director 301 CONGRESS AVENUE, SUITE 700, AUSTIN TX 78701
Ehrsam Frederick Ernest Iii director C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Emilie Choi officer: President C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Brian Armstrong director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Marc L Andreessen director, 10 percent owner C/O ARNOLD & PORTER LLP, 3 EMBARCADERO CENTER 7TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Paul Grewal officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Lawrence J Brock officer: Chief People Officer C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 248 3RD ST #434, OAKLAND CA 94607
Alesia J Haas officer: Chief Financial Officer 3333 BEVERLY ROAD, HOFFMAN ESTATES IL 60179
Kathryn Haun director C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Jennifer N. Jones officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Tobias Lutke director C/O SHOPIFY INC., 150 ELGIN ST., 8TH FLOOR, OTTAWA A6 K2P 1L4
Surojit Chatterjee officer: Chief Product Officer C/O COINBASE GLOBAL, INC., 100 PINE STREET, SUITE 1250, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Andreessen Horowitz Lsv Fund I-b, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Andreessen Horowitz Fund Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Frederick R Wilson director, 10 percent owner