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Jabil (JBL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $4,185.64 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Jabil Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Jabil's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $4,185.64.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Jabil's Predictability Rank is 4.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Jabil is 97.17%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jabil's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

JBL' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.02   Med: 0.4   Max: 0.53
Current: 0.03

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Jabil was 0.53. The lowest was 0.02. And the median was 0.40.

JBL's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
99.35% of 308 companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 0.95 vs JBL: 0.03

Jabil Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Jabil's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Jabil Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Jabil Annual Data
Trend Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 65.74 128.40 211.97 4,470.32

Jabil Quarterly Data
May19 Aug19 Nov19 Feb20 May20 Aug20 Nov20 Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3,947.99 3,955.46 4,470.32 4,479.39 4,185.64

Competitive Comparison of Jabil's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Jabil's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jabil's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Jabil's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jabil's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Jabil Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Jabil's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 22.60%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $133.940.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Jabil's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=133.940*31.2501
=4,185.64

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(4185.64-118.27)/4185.64
=97.17 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Jabil  (NYSE:JBL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Jabil Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Jabil's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Jabil (JBL) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Jabil Inc (NYSE:JBL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10800 Roosevelt Boulevard North, Saint Petersburg, FL, USA, 33716
Jabil Inc is a United States-based company engaged in providing manufacturing services and solutions. It provides comprehensive electronics design, production and product management services to companies in various industries and end markets.The Company derives its revenue from providing comprehensive electronics design, production and product management services. It operates in two segments. The Electronics Manufacturing Services (EMS) segment, which is the key revenue driver, is focused on leveraging IT, supply chain design and engineering, technologies largely centered on core electronics. The Diversified Manufacturing Services (DMS) segment is focused on providing engineering solutions, with an emphasis on material sciences, technologies, and healthcare.
Executives
Roberto Ferri officer: SVP, Global Sales 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Gerald Creadon officer: SVP, Operations 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Steven D Borges officer: EVP, CEO, Healthcare 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Kenneth S Wilson officer: EVP, CEO, Green Point C/O JABIL INC., 10560 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Francis Mckay officer: SVP, Chief Procurement Officer 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Daryn G. Smith officer: SVP, Controller 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR., ST N, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33617
Thomas A Samsone director JABIL CIRCUIT INC, 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST N, ST PETERSBURG FL 33716-3718
Kristine Melachrino officer: SVP, General Counsel 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Michael Dastoor officer: Controller C/O JABIL CIRCUIT, INC., 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING, JR. ST. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716-3718
Mark T Mondello officer: Chief Operating Officer 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST N, ST PETERSBURG FL 33716-3718
May Yee Yap officer: SVP, Chief Information Officer 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD. N., ST PETERSBURG FL 33716
Steven A Raymund director C/O TECH DATA CORP, 5350 TECH DATA DRIVE, CLEARWATER FL 33760
Frederic E. Mccoy officer: SVP, Global Business Units 10800 ROOSEVELT BLVD. N., ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Christopher S Holland director ARAMARK CORP, 1101 MARKET ST 29TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19107
Anousheh Ansari director 10560 DR. MARTIN LUTHER KING JR. ST. N., ST. PETERSBURG, FL FL 33716

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