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CrowdStrike Holdings (CrowdStrike Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $28.99 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is CrowdStrike Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), CrowdStrike Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $28.99.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

CrowdStrike Holdings's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for CrowdStrike Holdings is -948.88%.

The historical rank and industry rank for CrowdStrike Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CRWD's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.97
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

CrowdStrike Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for CrowdStrike Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CrowdStrike Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

CrowdStrike Holdings Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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CrowdStrike Holdings Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of CrowdStrike Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, CrowdStrike Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CrowdStrike Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, CrowdStrike Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CrowdStrike Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



CrowdStrike Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> CrowdStrike Holdings's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $2.512.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

CrowdStrike Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.512*11.5406
=28.99

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(28.99-304.07)/28.99
=-948.88 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


CrowdStrike Holdings  (NAS:CRWD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


CrowdStrike Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

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CrowdStrike Holdings (CrowdStrike Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
206 E. 9th Street, Suite 1400, Austin, TX, USA, 78701
CrowdStrike is a cloud-based cybersecurity company specializing in next-generation endpoint and cloud workload protection. CrowdStrike's primary offering is its Falcon platform that offers a proverbial single pane of glass for an enterprise to detect and respond to security threats attacking its IT infrastructure. The Texas-based firm was founded in 2011 and went public in 2019.
Executives
Michael Sentonas officer: PRESIDENT C/O CROWDSTRIKE, INC., 206 E. 9TH STREET, SUITE 1400, AUSTIN TX 78701
George Kurtz director, 10 percent owner, officer: PRESIDENT AND CEO CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Sameer K Gandhi director, 10 percent owner
Anurag Saha officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER 206 E. 9TH STREET, SUITE 1400, AUSTIN TX 78701
Shawn Henry officer: Please see remarks CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Burt W. Podbere officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Denis Oleary director 40 MORRIS LANE, SCARSDALE NY 10583
Godfrey Sullivan director SPLUNK INC., 250 BRANNAN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Roxanne S Austin director 200 N SEPULVEDA BLVD, PO BOX 956 MS ES/001/A102, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Johanna Flower director C/O FRESHWORKS INC., 2950 S DELAWARE STREET, SUITE 201, SAN MATEO CA 94403
Gerhard Watzinger director 2821 TARFLOWER WAY, NAPLES FL 34105
Michael J. Carpenter officer: PRES., GLBAL SALES & FLD OPS CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Black Colin officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVAL CA 94086
Abhishek Maheshwari officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER CROWDSTRIKE HOLDINGS, INC., 150 MATHILDA PLACE, SUITE 300, SUNNYVALE CA 94086
Cary Davis director C/O WARBURG PINCUS LLC, 450 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017