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XPO (XPO) E10 : $1.71 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is XPO E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

XPO's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.490. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $1.71 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, XPO's average E10 Growth Rate was 44.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of XPO was 25.50% per year. The lowest was -29.80% per year. And the median was -0.90% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), XPO's current stock price is $110.90. XPO's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.71. XPO's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 64.85.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of XPO was 221.63. The lowest was 22.23. And the median was 42.57.


XPO E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for XPO's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

XPO E10 Chart

XPO Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.52 -0.55 0.38 1.18 1.71

XPO Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.18 1.33 1.50 1.62 1.71

Competitive Comparison of XPO's E10

For the Trucking subindustry, XPO's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPO's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, XPO's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPO's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



XPO E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, XPO's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.49/129.4194*129.4194
=0.490

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

XPO Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 -0.700 99.695 -0.909
201406 -0.280 100.560 -0.360
201409 -0.230 100.428 -0.296
201412 -0.770 99.070 -1.006
201503 -0.200 99.621 -0.260
201506 -0.890 100.684 -1.144
201509 -0.940 100.392 -1.212
201512 -0.580 99.792 -0.752
201603 -0.210 100.470 -0.271
201606 0.350 101.688 0.445
201609 0.110 101.861 0.140
201612 0.220 101.863 0.280
201703 0.160 102.862 0.201
201706 0.380 103.349 0.476
201709 0.440 104.136 0.547
201712 1.420 104.011 1.767
201803 0.500 105.290 0.615
201806 1.030 106.317 1.254
201809 0.740 106.507 0.899
201812 0.620 105.998 0.757
201903 0.370 107.251 0.446
201906 1.190 108.070 1.425
201909 1.140 108.329 1.362
201912 0.930 108.420 1.110
202003 0.200 108.902 0.238
202006 -1.450 108.767 -1.725
202009 0.830 109.815 0.978
202012 0.910 109.897 1.072
202103 1.020 111.754 1.181
202106 1.380 114.631 1.558
202109 -0.500 115.734 -0.559
202112 1.050 117.630 1.155
202203 4.220 121.301 4.502
202206 1.220 125.017 1.263
202209 1.130 125.227 1.168
202212 -0.810 125.222 -0.837
202303 0.130 127.348 0.132
202306 0.280 128.729 0.282
202309 0.710 129.860 0.708
202312 0.490 129.419 0.490

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


XPO  (NYSE:XPO) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

XPO's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=110.90/1.71
=64.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of XPO was 221.63. The lowest was 22.23. And the median was 42.57.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


XPO E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of XPO's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


XPO (XPO) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Five American Lane, Greenwich, CT, USA, 06831
Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. On a pro forma basis for the November RXO spinoff, We estimate LTL shipping now makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. That said, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
Executives
Mario A Harik officer: Chief Information Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
J Wes Frye director C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Kyle Wismans officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Allison Landry director C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
David J. Bates officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Wendy Cassity officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Anderson Carl Douglas Ii officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Bella Loykhter Allaire director 880 CARILLON PARKWAY, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33716
Irene Moshouris director C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Farhad Nanji 10 percent owner C/O HIGHFIELDS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
S Jacobs Bradley director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O XPO, INC., FIVE AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
Mfn Partners Management, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Mfn Partners Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael Demichele 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116
Mfn Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 222 BERKELEY STREET, 13TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02116