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China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) E10 : HK$0.45 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is China Merchants Securities Co E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$0.273. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is HK$0.45 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, China Merchants Securities Co's average E10 Growth Rate was 4.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 8.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of China Merchants Securities Co was 8.50% per year. The lowest was -7.20% per year. And the median was 6.70% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), China Merchants Securities Co's current stock price is HK$6.63. China Merchants Securities Co's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$0.45. China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 14.73.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of China Merchants Securities Co was 34.58. The lowest was 12.28. And the median was 16.89.


China Merchants Securities Co E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Securities Co's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Securities Co E10 Chart

China Merchants Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.45 0.38 0.58 0.53 0.45

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.53 0.51 0.51 0.47 0.45

Competitive Comparison of China Merchants Securities Co's E10

For the Capital Markets subindustry, China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



China Merchants Securities Co E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.273/114.6694*114.6694
=0.273

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 114.6694.

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 0.159 98.600 0.185
201406 0.131 98.200 0.153
201409 0.219 98.900 0.254
201412 0.239 99.000 0.277
201503 0.473 99.900 0.543
201506 0.830 99.500 0.957
201509 0.264 100.500 0.301
201512 0.358 100.600 0.408
201603 0.168 102.200 0.188
201606 0.211 101.400 0.239
201609 0.289 102.400 0.324
201612 0.214 102.600 0.239
201703 0.192 103.200 0.213
201706 0.138 103.100 0.153
201709 0.207 104.100 0.228
201712 0.216 104.500 0.237
201803 0.137 105.300 0.149
201806 0.078 104.900 0.085
201809 0.152 106.600 0.164
201812 0.160 106.500 0.172
201903 0.281 107.700 0.299
201906 0.197 107.700 0.210
201909 0.154 109.800 0.161
201912 0.323 111.200 0.333
202003 0.221 112.300 0.226
202006 0.328 110.400 0.341
202009 0.376 111.700 0.386
202012 0.273 111.500 0.281
202103 0.334 112.662 0.340
202106 0.399 111.769 0.409
202109 0.362 112.215 0.370
202112 0.416 113.108 0.422
202203 0.185 114.335 0.186
202206 0.363 114.558 0.363
202209 0.235 115.339 0.234
202212 0.212 115.116 0.211
202303 0.273 115.116 0.272
202306 0.295 114.558 0.295
202309 0.193 115.339 0.192
202312 0.273 114.669 0.273

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


China Merchants Securities Co  (HKSE:06099) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

China Merchants Securities Co's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=6.63/0.45
=14.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of China Merchants Securities Co was 34.58. The lowest was 12.28. And the median was 16.89.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


China Merchants Securities Co E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Merchants Securities Co's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 111, 1st Fuhua Road, Futian District, Guangdong, Shenzhen, CHN, 518046
China Merchants Securities Co Ltd is a financial service provider. Its business is divided into four segments: Wealth management and institutional business; Investment banking; Investment management; and Investment and trading. The Wealth management and institutional business include brokerage and wealth management, capital-based intermediary business, and institutional client integrated services. Investment banking business includes equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and financial advisory businesses. The Investment management business engages in securities asset management and private equity investment fund business. Investment and trading business includes the investment and trading of equity and fixed-income products and other financial products.

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