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Post Holdings (Post Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 18.23 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-27), Post Holdings's current share price is $105.38. Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $5.78. Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 18.23.

The historical rank and industry rank for Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

POST' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 12.11   Med: 15.31   Max: 18.48
Current: 18.32

During the past years, Post Holdings's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 18.48. The lowest was 12.11. And the median was 15.31.

POST's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
59.83% of 697 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 23.47 vs POST: 18.32

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Post Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.391. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.78 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Post Holdings Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 12.29 14.44 15.81 15.06

Post Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.43 16.84 15.62 15.06 15.24

Competitive Comparison of Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=105.38/5.78
=18.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, Post Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.391/129.4194*129.4194
=1.391

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Post Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -0.494 99.695 -0.641
201406 0.094 100.560 0.121
201409 1.439 100.428 1.854
201412 0.673 99.070 0.879
201503 1.173 99.621 1.524
201506 1.227 100.684 1.577
201509 2.458 100.392 3.169
201512 1.020 99.792 1.323
201603 1.155 100.470 1.488
201606 1.948 101.688 2.479
201609 1.362 101.861 1.730
201612 -0.638 101.863 -0.811
201703 -0.504 102.862 -0.634
201706 2.593 103.349 3.247
201709 1.570 104.136 1.951
201712 2.041 104.011 2.540
201803 0.259 105.290 0.318
201806 3.620 106.317 4.407
201809 0.595 106.507 0.723
201812 2.129 105.998 2.599
201903 -1.203 107.251 -1.452
201906 3.088 108.070 3.698
201909 1.503 108.329 1.796
201912 0.431 108.420 0.514
202003 -0.860 108.902 -1.022
202006 4.001 108.767 4.761
202009 2.147 109.815 2.530
202012 0.906 109.897 1.067
202103 0.043 111.754 0.050
202106 2.983 114.631 3.368
202109 2.234 115.734 2.498
202112 0.781 117.630 0.859
202203 -0.150 121.301 -0.160
202206 0.183 125.017 0.189
202209 1.197 125.227 1.237
202212 0.699 125.222 0.722
202303 0.295 127.348 0.300
202306 3.112 128.729 3.129
202309 2.485 129.860 2.477
202312 1.391 129.419 1.391

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Post Holdings  (NYSE:POST) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Post Holdings Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Post Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Post Holdings (Post Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2503 South Hanley Road, St. Louis, MO, USA, 63144
Post Holdings Inc is an consumer packaged goods holding company. It operates in Post Consumer Brands which Includes branded and private label ready-to-eat cereals, Weetabix it Includes the businesses of Weetabix Limited, which Post acquired in July 2017 and which produces and distributes branded and private label RTE cereal, hot cereals and other cereal-based food products, Foodservice which Includes primarily egg and potato products in the foodservice and food ingredient channels from the businesses of MFI Holding Corporation, lastly Refrigerated Retail segment Provides refrigerated retail products, inclusive of side dishes, eggs and egg products, sausage, cheese and other dairy and refrigerated products.
Executives
Ellen F Harshman director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Dorothy M Burwell director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63021
Bradly A Harper officer: SVP, CHIEF ACCTING OFFICER C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Thomas C Erb director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Nicolas Catoggio officer: PRES & CEO, PCB C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
David P Skarie director RALCORP HOLDINGS INC, 800 MARKET STREET STE 2900, ST LOUIS MO 63101
Diedre J Gray officer: SVP, GEN. COUNSEL & SEC'Y C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Matthew J Mainer officer: SVP, CFO & TREASURER C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robert E Grote director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Gregory L Curl director
Jennifer Kuperman Johnson director C/O BELLRING BRANDS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Mark W Westphal officer: PRES., MICHAEL FOODS C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
David W Kemper director PO BOX 419248, KANSAS CITY MO 64141-6248
Jay W Brown director C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 S. HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144
Robert V Vitale officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O POST HOLDINGS, INC., 2503 SOUTH HANLEY ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63144