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China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 44.20 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-28), China Merchants Securities Co's current share price is HK$6.63. China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$0.15. China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 44.20.

The historical rank and industry rank for China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HKSE:06099' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 41.77   Med: 143.65   Max: 477.33
Current: 49.55

During the past years, China Merchants Securities Co's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 477.33. The lowest was 41.77. And the median was 143.65.

HKSE:06099's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
79.64% of 221 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 19.29 vs HKSE:06099: 49.55

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was HK$1.634. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$0.15 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

China Merchants Securities Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 44.35

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 144.98 306.45 506.90 44.35

Competitive Comparison of China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=6.63/0.15
=44.20

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

China Merchants Securities Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, China Merchants Securities Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.634/114.6694*114.6694
=1.634

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 114.6694.

China Merchants Securities Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.751 98.600 0.873
201406 -0.964 98.200 -1.126
201409 1.618 98.900 1.876
201412 2.121 99.000 2.457
201503 -2.848 99.900 -3.269
201506 5.332 99.500 6.145
201509 -1.985 100.500 -2.265
201512 -0.282 100.600 -0.321
201603 2.238 102.200 2.511
201606 0.176 101.400 0.199
201609 -1.894 102.400 -2.121
201612 -4.118 102.600 -4.602
201703 -0.731 103.200 -0.812
201706 0.745 103.100 0.829
201709 -2.330 104.100 -2.567
201712 -3.429 104.500 -3.763
201803 1.926 105.300 2.097
201806 0.168 104.900 0.184
201809 1.366 106.600 1.469
201812 0.653 106.500 0.703
201903 3.020 107.700 3.215
201906 -0.104 107.700 -0.111
201909 -1.226 109.800 -1.280
201912 -0.191 111.200 -0.197
202003 2.013 112.300 2.055
202006 -1.089 110.400 -1.131
202009 -4.804 111.700 -4.932
202012 2.404 111.500 2.472
202103 -2.710 112.662 -2.758
202106 -1.115 111.769 -1.144
202109 -1.450 112.215 -1.482
202112 -0.076 113.108 -0.077
202203 2.628 114.335 2.636
202206 4.972 114.558 4.977
202209 -3.896 115.339 -3.873
202212 4.366 115.116 4.349
202303 2.984 115.116 2.972
202306 -0.701 114.558 -0.702
202309 -0.746 115.339 -0.742
202312 1.634 114.669 1.634

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


China Merchants Securities Co  (HKSE:06099) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


China Merchants Securities Co Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

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China Merchants Securities Co (HKSE:06099) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 111, 1st Fuhua Road, Futian District, Guangdong, Shenzhen, CHN, 518046
China Merchants Securities Co Ltd is a financial service provider. Its business is divided into four segments: Wealth management and institutional business; Investment banking; Investment management; and Investment and trading. The Wealth management and institutional business include brokerage and wealth management, capital-based intermediary business, and institutional client integrated services. Investment banking business includes equity underwriting, debt underwriting, and financial advisory businesses. The Investment management business engages in securities asset management and private equity investment fund business. Investment and trading business includes the investment and trading of equity and fixed-income products and other financial products.

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