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Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSX:FFH) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$16.94 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Fairfax Financial Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fairfax Financial Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was C$47.517. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$16.94 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Fairfax Financial Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -27.50% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Fairfax Financial Holdings was 67.50% per year. The lowest was -21.30% per year. And the median was 9.65% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Fairfax Financial Holdings's current stock price is C$1486.20. Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was C$16.94. Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 87.73.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Fairfax Financial Holdings was 293.55. The lowest was 10.43. And the median was 35.03.


Fairfax Financial Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Fairfax Financial Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.53 16.14 53.13 23.35 16.94

Fairfax Financial Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.35 16.36 13.62 12.14 16.94

Competitive Comparison of Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Fairfax Financial Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Fairfax Financial Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=47.517/125.4675*125.4675
=47.517

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 125.4675.

Fairfax Financial Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -7.926 98.604 -10.085
201406 9.698 99.473 12.232
201409 -8.851 99.394 -11.173
201412 -0.171 98.367 -0.218
201503 -47.398 99.789 -59.595
201506 23.053 100.500 28.780
201509 36.113 100.421 45.120
201512 -16.028 99.947 -20.121
201603 -15.938 101.054 -19.789
201606 -27.005 102.002 -33.218
201609 -4.543 101.765 -5.601
201612 109.459 101.449 135.375
201703 42.101 102.634 51.468
201706 30.400 103.029 37.021
201709 78.521 103.345 95.330
201712 -31.514 103.345 -38.260
201803 -151.439 105.004 -180.952
201806 45.690 105.557 54.308
201809 57.083 105.636 67.799
201812 -50.317 105.399 -59.898
201903 18.491 106.979 21.687
201906 -23.200 107.690 -27.030
201909 29.085 107.611 33.911
201912 25.063 107.769 29.179
202003 22.620 107.927 26.296
202006 -26.917 108.401 -31.155
202009 9.903 108.164 11.487
202012 -9.892 108.559 -11.433
202103 34.984 110.298 39.796
202106 34.150 111.720 38.352
202109 162.894 112.905 181.019
202112 54.983 113.774 60.634
202203 -52.950 117.646 -56.471
202206 -169.786 120.806 -176.338
202209 -52.728 120.648 -54.834
202212 24.352 120.964 25.259
202303 -69.123 122.702 -70.681
202306 -18.527 124.203 -18.716
202309 12.417 125.230 12.441
202312 47.517 125.468 47.517

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Fairfax Financial Holdings  (TSX:FFH) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1486.20/16.94
=87.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Fairfax Financial Holdings was 293.55. The lowest was 10.43. And the median was 35.03.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Fairfax Financial Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fairfax Financial Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fairfax Financial Holdings (TSX:FFH) Business Description

Address
95 Wellington Street West, Suite 800, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5J 2N7
Fairfax provides reinsurance and property and casualty insurance in Canada, the United States, and other international markets. The company also has some noninsurance operations such as restaurants. Fairfax has been led by Prem Watsa, its chairman and CEO, since its formation in 1985.

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