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Northern Oil & Gas (Northern Oil & Gas) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $-9.35 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Northern Oil & Gas Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Northern Oil & Gas's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $-0.187. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $-9.35 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 7.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Northern Oil & Gas was 22.10% per year. The lowest was -44.90% per year. And the median was 2.45% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Northern Oil & Gas's current stock price is $43.27. Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $-9.35. Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is .


Northern Oil & Gas Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Northern Oil & Gas Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Northern Oil & Gas Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -22.07 -19.77 -16.37 -11.12 -9.35

Northern Oil & Gas Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -11.12 -11.12 -10.15 -10.15 -9.35

Competitive Comparison of Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Northern Oil & Gas Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Northern Oil & Gas's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-0.187/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.187

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Northern Oil & Gas Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 -7.559 99.695 -9.813
201406 -8.855 100.560 -11.396
201409 -5.919 100.428 -7.628
201412 -11.025 99.070 -14.402
201503 -7.213 99.621 -9.371
201506 -5.433 100.684 -6.984
201509 2.977 100.392 3.838
201512 2.706 99.792 3.509
201603 5.765 100.470 7.426
201606 -2.461 101.688 -3.132
201609 1.737 101.861 2.207
201612 -3.586 101.863 -4.556
201703 1.524 102.862 1.917
201706 -3.627 103.349 -4.542
201709 0.480 104.136 0.597
201712 -5.627 104.011 -7.002
201803 -1.912 105.290 -2.350
201806 -4.264 106.317 -5.191
201809 -2.241 106.507 -2.723
201812 -1.760 105.998 -2.149
201903 0.565 107.251 0.682
201906 0.453 108.070 0.542
201909 -4.710 108.329 -5.627
201912 -2.008 108.420 -2.397
202003 -0.077 108.902 -0.092
202006 0.393 108.767 0.468
202009 -0.073 109.815 -0.086
202012 0.844 109.897 0.994
202103 0.506 111.754 0.586
202106 -1.034 114.631 -1.167
202109 -0.994 115.734 -1.112
202112 -1.355 117.630 -1.491
202203 -3.426 121.301 -3.655
202206 1.141 125.017 1.181
202209 -0.284 125.227 -0.294
202212 -2.833 125.222 -2.928
202303 -2.247 127.348 -2.284
202306 -0.728 128.729 -0.732
202309 -4.123 129.860 -4.109
202312 -0.187 129.419 -0.187

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Northern Oil & Gas  (NYSE:NOG) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Northern Oil & Gas Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Northern Oil & Gas's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Northern Oil & Gas (Northern Oil & Gas) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4350 Baker Road, Suite 400, Minnetonka, MN, USA, 55343
Northern Oil & Gas Inc is an independent energy company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, exploitation, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas properties. Its principal business is crude oil and natural gas exploration, development, and production with operations in North Dakota and Montana that primarily target the Bakken and Three Forks formations in the Williston Basin of the United States.
Executives
Robert B. Rowling 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
William F Kimble director 6900 E. LAYTON AVE., SUITE 900, DENVER CO 80237
Jennifer S. Pomerantz director 4350 BAKER ROAD, SUITE 400, MINNETONKA MN 55343
Cresta Greenwood, Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Rowling Family 2012 Long Term Trust other: See Remarks 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
James B. Evans officer: Executive VP & Chief Engineer 601 CARLSON PARKWAY, SUITE 990, MINNETONKA MN 55305
Foundation Rowling other: See Remarks 4001 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Stuart G. Lasher director 4931 NEW PROVIDENCE, TAMPA FL 33629
Ttbr Investments Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Trbrjr Investments Llc 10 percent owner 4001 MAPLE AVE, SUITE 600, DALLAS TX 75219
Michael D. Kelly officer: EVP of Finance 3762 INGOLD STREET, HOUSTON TX 77005
Crestview Partners Iii Gp, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O CRESTVIEW PARTNERS, 590 MADISON AVENUE, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brandon R. Elliott officer: EVP, Corporate Devp & Strategy 315 MANITOBA AVENUE, SUITE 200, WAYZATA MN 55391
Roy Ernest Easley director 1048 TEXAN TRAIL, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
W Energy Partners Llc 10 percent owner 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD, SUITE 550, DALLAS TX 75219

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