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Dollar Tree (Dollar Tree) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $4.05 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $2.154. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $4.05 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Dollar Tree's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Dollar Tree was 55.40% per year. The lowest was 4.50% per year. And the median was 19.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Dollar Tree's current stock price is $121.74. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $4.05. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.06.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 22.48. And the median was 38.36.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.90 3.55 3.78 3.98 4.05

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.98 4.20 4.07 4.09 4.05

Competitive Comparison of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=2.154/129.4194*129.4194
=2.154

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.608 100.023 0.787
201407 0.381 100.520 0.491
201410 -0.344 100.176 -0.444
201501 2.334 98.604 3.063
201504 0.403 99.824 0.522
201507 -1.284 100.691 -1.650
201510 -0.739 100.346 -0.953
201601 2.917 99.957 3.777
201604 0.571 100.947 0.732
201607 0.800 101.524 1.020
201610 -0.509 101.988 -0.646
201701 3.812 102.456 4.815
201704 1.350 103.167 1.694
201707 0.350 103.278 0.439
201710 -1.095 104.070 -1.362
201801 3.084 104.578 3.817
201804 0.866 105.708 1.060
201807 0.702 106.324 0.854
201810 0.227 106.695 0.275
201901 2.186 106.200 2.664
201904 1.693 107.818 2.032
201907 -0.277 108.250 -0.331
201910 -0.461 108.577 -0.549
202001 2.534 108.841 3.013
202004 3.046 108.173 3.644
202007 1.020 109.318 1.208
202010 0.253 109.861 0.298
202101 3.356 110.364 3.935
202104 1.413 112.673 1.623
202107 -0.214 115.183 -0.240
202110 -0.058 116.696 -0.064
202201 0.617 118.619 0.673
202204 1.253 121.978 1.329
202207 -1.311 125.002 -1.357
202210 -0.803 125.734 -0.827
202301 2.490 126.223 2.553
202304 1.806 127.992 1.826
202307 -1.163 128.974 -1.167
202310 -0.162 129.810 -0.162
202401 2.154 129.419 2.154

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Dollar Tree  (NAS:DLTR) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=121.74/4.05
=30.06

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Dollar Tree was 59.36. The lowest was 22.48. And the median was 38.36.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Dollar Tree (Dollar Tree) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Dollar Tree operates discount stores across the United States and Canada, with over 8,200 shops under its namesake banner and 8,350 under Family Dollar. About 45% of Dollar Tree's sales in fiscal 2022 were composed of consumables (including food, health and beauty, and cleaning products), nearly 50% from variety items (including toys and homewares), and over 5% from seasonal items. The Dollar Tree banner sells most of its merchandise at the $1.25 price point and positions its stores in well-populated suburban markets. Conversely, Family Dollar primarily sells consumable merchandise (nearly 80% of the banner's sales) at prices below $10. About two-thirds of Family Dollar's stores are located in urban and suburban markets, with the remaining one-third located in rural areas.
Executives
Mantle Ridge Lp other: Director by deputization 712 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 17F, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Aflatooni officer: Chief Information Officer DOLLAR TREE, INC., 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23328
Daniel J Heinrich director CLOROX CO, 1221 BROADWAY, OAKLAND CA 94612
Jonathan Leiken officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O DIEBOLD, INCORPORATED, 5995 MAYFAIR RD., NORTH CANTON OH 44720
Diane Randolph director 1500 SOLANA BLVD, SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Jennifer Hulett officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 1500 SOLANA BLVD., SUITE 3400, WESTLAKE TX 76262
Michael J Kindy officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Jeffrey A. Davis officer: Chief Financial Officer 1200 WILSON DRIVE, WEST CHESTER PA 19380
Richard W Dreiling director, other: Executive Chairman C/O SAFEWAY INC, 5918 STONERIDGE MALL ROAD, PLEASANTON CA 94588
Janet Dhillon officer: Chief Legal Officer 111 W RIO SALADO PARKWAY, TEMPE AZ 85281
Creedon Michael C Jr officer: Chief Operating Officer 833 KEITH ROAD, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
John W Flanigan officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Gatta Lawrence J. Jr. officer: Chief Merchandising Officer FD C/O LONGS DRUG STORES CORPORATION, 141 NORTH CIVIC DRIVE, WALNUT CREEK CA 94596
David A. Jacobs officer: Chief Strategy Officer 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
Kelly Edward J Iii director CIT GROUP INC, ONE CIT DRIVE, LIVINGSTON NJ 07039