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ConocoPhillips (ConocoPhillips) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $4.20 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

ConocoPhillips's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.001. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $4.20 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, ConocoPhillips's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 37.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -0.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of ConocoPhillips was 250.30% per year. The lowest was -21.00% per year. And the median was 13.60% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), ConocoPhillips's current stock price is $130.24. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.20. ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 31.01.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of ConocoPhillips was 58.48. The lowest was 11.47. And the median was 24.29.


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

ConocoPhillips Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.34 1.61 1.85 3.43 4.20

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.43 3.55 3.66 3.99 4.20

Competitive Comparison of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, ConocoPhillips's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=2.001/129.4194*129.4194
=2.001

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

ConocoPhillips Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.964 99.695 2.550
201406 -0.558 100.560 -0.718
201409 -0.575 100.428 -0.741
201412 -1.243 99.070 -1.624
201503 -1.015 99.621 -1.319
201506 -0.349 100.684 -0.449
201509 -0.193 100.392 -0.249
201512 -0.435 99.792 -0.564
201603 -1.125 100.470 -1.449
201606 0.101 101.688 0.129
201609 0.292 101.861 0.371
201612 0.356 101.863 0.452
201703 0.660 102.862 0.830
201706 0.591 103.349 0.740
201709 -0.027 104.136 -0.034
201712 0.809 104.011 1.007
201803 0.728 105.290 0.895
201806 1.137 106.317 1.384
201809 1.544 106.507 1.876
201812 1.868 105.998 2.281
201903 1.096 107.251 1.323
201906 1.027 108.070 1.230
201909 0.595 108.329 0.711
201912 1.260 108.420 1.504
202003 0.420 108.902 0.499
202006 -0.667 108.767 -0.794
202009 -0.245 109.815 -0.289
202012 0.572 109.897 0.674
202103 0.676 111.754 0.783
202106 2.207 114.631 2.492
202109 2.615 115.734 2.924
202112 3.264 117.630 3.591
202203 1.459 121.301 1.557
202206 4.589 125.017 4.751
202209 4.918 125.227 5.083
202212 3.266 125.222 3.375
202303 2.048 127.348 2.081
202306 0.769 128.729 0.773
202309 2.417 129.860 2.409
202312 2.001 129.419 2.001

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


ConocoPhillips  (NYSE:COP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=130.24/4.2
=31.01

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of ConocoPhillips was 58.48. The lowest was 11.47. And the median was 24.29.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


ConocoPhillips Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of ConocoPhillips's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


ConocoPhillips (ConocoPhillips) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP) » Definitions » Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Address
925 North Eldridge Parkway, Houston, TX, USA, 77079
ConocoPhillips is a U.S.-based independent exploration and production firm. In 2022, it produced 1.2 million barrels per day of oil and natural gas liquids and 3.1 billion cubic feet per day of natural gas, primarily from Alaska and the Lower 48 in the United States and Norway in Europe and several countries in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East. Proven reserves at year-end 2022 were 6.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
Executives
Timothy A Leach director, officer: Executive Vice President 7220 MEADOW ROAD, DALLAS TX 75230
Andrew D Lundquist officer: SVP 5205 N O'CONNOR BLVD, SUITE 200, IRVING TX 75039
Sharmila Mulligan director SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Ryan Michael Lance officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
C William Giraud officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Kirk L. Johnson officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Caroline Maury Devine director ATLANTIC COAST AIRLINES INC, 45200 BUSINESS COURT, DULLES VA 20166
R A Walker director 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Nicholas G Olds officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Christopher P. Delk officer: Vice President, Controller SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Kelly Brunetti Rose officer: SVP & General Counsel SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Andrew M. O'brien officer: Senior Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Dennis V Arriola director 162 CANCO ROAD, PORTLAND ME 04103
Jody Freeman director SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084
Jack F Harper officer: Executive Vice President SHIPPING & RECEIVING CENTER, 16930 PARK ROW DR., HOUSTON TX 77084

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