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Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $9.46 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $2.648. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $9.46 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Caterpillar's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -100.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 11.30% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Caterpillar was 158.40% per year. The lowest was -32.10% per year. And the median was 11.80% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Caterpillar's current stock price is $343.38. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $9.46. Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 36.30.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 100.70. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.14.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Caterpillar Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.81 6.22 6.98 8.39 9.43

Caterpillar Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.65 8.80 9.11 9.43 9.46

Competitive Comparison of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery subindustry, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry

For the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry and Industrials sector, Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Caterpillar's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.648/129.4194*129.4194
=2.648

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Caterpillar Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 2.258 100.560 2.906
201409 1.935 100.428 2.494
201412 1.415 99.070 1.848
201503 0.725 99.621 0.942
201506 2.363 100.684 3.037
201509 1.311 100.392 1.690
201512 1.308 99.792 1.696
201603 -0.425 100.470 -0.547
201606 2.462 101.688 3.133
201609 0.977 101.861 1.241
201612 1.598 101.863 2.030
201703 1.741 102.862 2.190
201706 2.968 103.349 3.717
201709 1.213 104.136 1.508
201712 -0.260 104.011 -0.324
201803 0.293 105.290 0.360
201806 2.279 106.317 2.774
201809 1.310 106.507 1.592
201812 2.162 105.998 2.640
201903 0.992 107.251 1.197
201906 3.333 108.070 3.991
201909 0.246 108.329 0.294
201912 2.907 108.420 3.470
202003 1.056 108.902 1.255
202006 1.728 108.767 2.056
202009 2.271 109.815 2.676
202012 2.628 109.897 3.095
202103 2.583 111.754 2.991
202106 2.778 114.631 3.136
202109 2.106 115.734 2.355
202112 1.154 117.630 1.270
202203 -0.680 121.301 -0.726
202206 3.067 125.017 3.175
202209 3.533 125.227 3.651
202212 3.891 125.222 4.021
202303 1.585 127.348 1.611
202306 4.936 128.729 4.962
202309 6.397 129.860 6.375
202312 6.207 129.419 6.207
202403 2.648 129.419 2.648

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Caterpillar  (NYSE:CAT) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=343.38/9.46
=36.30

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Caterpillar was 100.70. The lowest was 11.27. And the median was 25.14.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Caterpillar Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Caterpillar's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Caterpillar (Caterpillar) Business Description

Address
5205 N. O'Connor Boulevard, Suite 100, Irving, TX, USA, 75039
Caterpillar is the premier manufacturer of heavy equipment, power solutions, and locomotives. It is currently the world's largest manufacturer of heavy equipment with over 13% market share in 2021. The company is divided into four reportable segments: construction industries, resource industries, energy and transportation, and Caterpillar Financial Services. Its products are available through a dealer network that covers the globe with about 2,700 branches maintained by 160 dealers. Caterpillar Financial Services provides retail financing for machinery and engines to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers, which increases the likelihood of Caterpillar product sales.
Executives
Anthony D. Fassino officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Cheryl H Johnson officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 40 WESTMINSTER STREET, PROVIDENCE RI 02903
Joseph E Creed officer: Interim CFO 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Denise C Johnson officer: Group President C/O CATERPILLAR, INCORPORATED, 901 WEST WASHINGTON, CV41110, EAST PEORIA IL 61630
Lange Bob De officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Fish James C Jr director 800 CAPITOL STREET 3000, HOUSTON TX 77002
Judith Fran Marks director C/O HUBBELL INCORPORATED, 40 WATERVIEW DRIVE, SHELTON CT 06484
David Maclennan director 14701 CHARLSON ROAD, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55347
Suzette M Long officer: Int. Executive Vice President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFILED IL 60015
Daniel M Dickinson director THAYER CAPITAL PARTNERS, 1455 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE NW, STE 350, WASHINGTON DC 20004
William E Schaupp officer: Chief Accounting Officer PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272
Gary Michael Marvel officer: Chief Accounting Officer 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Gerald Johnson director 300 RENAISSANCE CENTER, M/C: 482-C23-A68, DETROIT MI 48265
Ramin Younessi officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD IL 60015
William P Ainsworth officer: Group President 510 LAKE COOK ROAD, SUITE 100, DEERFIELD X1 60015

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