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American Express Co (American Express Co) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $15.72 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is American Express Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

American Express Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $7.140. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $15.72 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, American Express Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 23.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 12.60% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of American Express Co was 41.20% per year. The lowest was 2.50% per year. And the median was 9.30% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), American Express Co's current stock price is $235.64. American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $15.72. American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 14.99.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of American Express Co was 17.90. The lowest was 7.34. And the median was 12.29.


American Express Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

American Express Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

American Express Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.57 9.43 10.89 13.50 15.38

American Express Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.77 13.10 14.55 15.38 15.72

Competitive Comparison of American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Credit Services subindustry, American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Credit Services Industry

For the Credit Services industry and Financial Services sector, American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



American Express Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, American Express Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=7.14/129.4194*129.4194
=7.140

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

American Express Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 1.210 100.560 1.557
201409 3.241 100.428 4.177
201412 1.997 99.070 2.609
201503 1.828 99.621 2.375
201506 1.805 100.684 2.320
201509 3.257 100.392 4.199
201512 2.472 99.792 3.206
201603 2.313 100.470 2.979
201606 0.344 101.688 0.438
201609 1.544 101.861 1.962
201612 3.224 101.863 4.096
201703 0.978 102.862 1.231
201706 3.206 103.349 4.015
201709 4.566 104.136 5.675
201712 5.425 104.011 6.750
201803 2.121 105.290 2.607
201806 3.172 106.317 3.861
201809 5.524 106.507 6.712
201812 -1.982 105.998 -2.420
201903 9.726 107.251 11.736
201906 2.916 108.070 3.492
201909 -1.711 108.329 -2.044
201912 3.393 108.420 4.050
202003 -3.161 108.902 -3.757
202006 2.206 108.767 2.625
202009 2.270 109.815 2.675
202012 3.801 109.897 4.476
202103 2.436 111.754 2.821
202106 3.560 114.631 4.019
202109 4.755 115.734 5.317
202112 5.900 117.630 6.491
202203 4.529 121.301 4.832
202206 5.056 125.017 5.234
202209 5.427 125.227 5.609
202212 10.573 125.222 10.927
202303 -0.992 127.348 -1.008
202306 4.788 128.729 4.814
202309 10.700 129.860 10.664
202312 8.725 129.419 8.725
202403 7.140 129.419 7.140

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


American Express Co  (NYSE:AXP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=235.64/15.72
=14.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of American Express Co was 17.90. The lowest was 7.34. And the median was 12.29.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


American Express Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Express Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


American Express Co (American Express Co) Business Description

Address
200 Vesey Street, New York, NY, USA, 10285
American Express is a global financial institution, operating in about 130 countries, that provides consumers and businesses charge and credit card payment products. The company also operates a highly profitable merchant payment network. Since 2018, it has operated in three segments: global consumer services, global commercial services, and global merchant and network services. In addition to payment products, the company's commercial business offers expense management tools, consulting services, and business loans.
Executives
Jeffrey C Campbell officer: EVP, Chief Financial Officer 4333 AMON CARTER BLVD, FORT WORTH TX 76155
Douglas E. Buckminster officer: Pres, Int'l Consumer & SBS 200 VESEY STREET, M/S 01-50-01, NEW YORK NY 10285
Clayton Walter Joseph Iii director C/O APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 9 WEST 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Caillec Christophe Le officer: Chief Financial Officer 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Monique Herena officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 225 LIBERTY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10286
Howard Grosfield officer: President, U.S. Consumer Serv 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Quinn Jessica Lieberman officer: Controller 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Raymond Joabar officer: CRO and Pres., GRBC 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Denise Pickett officer: CRO and President, GRBC Group 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Anna Marrs officer: Pres., Global Comm. Services 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Deborah P Majoras director ONE PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Rafael Marquez officer: President, International Card 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Theodore Leonsis director WASHINGTON CAPITALS, 627 N GLEBE RD SUITE 850, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Stephen J Squeri officer: EVP, Chief Information Officer 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Anre D Williams officer: Pres. Global Merchant Services 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285