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AvalonBay Communities (AvalonBay Communities) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $9.62 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is AvalonBay Communities Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

AvalonBay Communities's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.994. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $9.62 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, AvalonBay Communities's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 8.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 10.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of AvalonBay Communities was 128.70% per year. The lowest was 4.60% per year. And the median was 11.20% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), AvalonBay Communities's current stock price is $191.45. AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $9.62. AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.90.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AvalonBay Communities was 833.73. The lowest was 16.76. And the median was 31.15.


AvalonBay Communities Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

AvalonBay Communities Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

AvalonBay Communities Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.04 7.48 8.30 9.06 9.62

AvalonBay Communities Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.06 9.39 9.52 9.70 9.62

Competitive Comparison of AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



AvalonBay Communities Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, AvalonBay Communities's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.994/129.4194*129.4194
=1.994

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

AvalonBay Communities Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.522 99.695 1.976
201406 1.433 100.560 1.844
201409 1.656 100.428 2.134
201412 1.744 99.070 2.278
201503 1.710 99.621 2.221
201506 1.594 100.684 2.049
201509 2.295 100.392 2.959
201512 1.964 99.792 2.547
201603 1.914 100.470 2.465
201606 1.904 101.688 2.423
201609 2.092 101.861 2.658
201612 2.001 101.863 2.542
201703 2.105 102.862 2.648
201706 1.863 103.349 2.333
201709 2.457 104.136 3.054
201712 2.138 104.011 2.660
201803 2.153 105.290 2.646
201806 2.079 106.317 2.531
201809 2.401 106.507 2.918
201812 2.136 105.998 2.608
201903 2.458 107.251 2.966
201906 1.750 108.070 2.096
201909 2.377 108.329 2.840
201912 1.879 108.420 2.243
202003 2.118 108.902 2.517
202006 1.879 108.767 2.236
202009 2.119 109.815 2.497
202012 1.591 109.897 1.874
202103 2.149 111.754 2.489
202106 1.497 114.631 1.690
202109 2.094 115.734 2.342
202112 1.776 117.630 1.954
202203 2.227 121.301 2.376
202206 1.846 125.017 1.911
202209 2.764 125.227 2.857
202212 2.073 125.222 2.142
202303 2.583 127.348 2.625
202306 2.104 128.729 2.115
202309 2.942 129.860 2.932
202312 1.994 129.419 1.994

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


AvalonBay Communities  (NYSE:AVB) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=191.45/9.62
=19.90

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of AvalonBay Communities was 833.73. The lowest was 16.76. And the median was 31.15.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


AvalonBay Communities Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of AvalonBay Communities's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


AvalonBay Communities (AvalonBay Communities) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4040 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 1000, Arlington, VA, USA, 22203
AvalonBay Communities owns a portfolio of 276 apartment communities with over 82,000 units and is developing 18 additional properties with over 5,700 units. The company focuses on owning large, high-quality properties in major metropolitan areas of New England, New York/New Jersey, Washington D.C., California, and the Pacific Northwest.
Executives
Joanne M Lockeridge officer: Executive Vice President 4040 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Matthew H. Birenbaum officer: EVP, Strategy & Portfolio Mgmt 671 NORTH GLEBE ROAD, SUITE 800, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Mueller Charles E Jr director C/O AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES, INC., 4040 WILSON BLVD., SUITE 1000, ARLINGTON VA 22027
Edward M Schulman officer: Vice President-General Counsel
William M Mclaughlin officer: Executive Vice President AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES, INC., 2900 EISENHOWER AVENUE, SUITE 300, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Timothy J Naughton officer: Chief Operating Officer 2900 ELSENHOWER AVE 3RD FL, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Sean J. Breslin officer: Senior Vice President 2900 EISENHOWER AVE., SUITE 300, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Keri A Shea officer: VP-Finance and Treasurer 2900 EISEHOWER AVE., SUITE 300, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Kevin P. O'shea officer: Executive Vice President 671 N. GLEBE ROAD, SUITE 800, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Nnenna Lynch director 4040 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE1000, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Christopher B. Howard director 4040 WILSON BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Benjamin Schall director, officer: President 261 BROADWAY, NO.11B, NEW YORK NY 10007
W Edward Walter director
Horey Leo S Iii officer: Senior Vice President 2900 ELSENHOWER AVE 3RD FL, ALEXANDRIA VA 22314
Stephen W Wilson officer: Executive Vice President C/O PS BUSINESS PARKS, INC., 701 WESTERN AVENUE, GLENDALE CA 91201

AvalonBay Communities (AvalonBay Communities) Headlines