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Civitas Solutions (Civitas Solutions) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 7.51% (As of Dec. 2018)


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What is Civitas Solutions Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Civitas Solutions's forward rate of return for was 7.51%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

CIVI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry.
Industry Median: 15.23
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Civitas Solutions Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Civitas Solutions Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Civitas Solutions Annual Data
Trend Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 9.31

Civitas Solutions Quarterly Data
Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 9.31 7.51

Competitive Comparison of Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Civitas Solutions Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2018 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.39142857/17.51+-0.0044
=7.51 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Civitas Solutions  (NYSE:CIVI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Civitas Solutions Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Civitas Solutions's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Civitas Solutions (Civitas Solutions) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
313 Congress Street, 6th Floor, Boston, MA, USA, 02210
Civitas Solutions Inc provides health services to people with intellectual, developmental, physical, or behavioral disabilities and other special needs. Its revenue is generated exclusively in the United States. Civitas operates in two segments: human services and post-acute specialty rehabilitation services, or SRS. The human services segment contributes the vast majority of revenue and provides services to people with disabilities, at-risk youth, and the elderly. Its programs for people with intellectual or developmental disabilities provide residential support, case management, and vocational services. The SRS segment provides rehabilitation and transitional living services to people who have experienced brain or spinal injuries or other severe illnesses or injuries.
Executives
Daniel S Oconnell 10 percent owner C/O VESTAR CAPITAL PARTNERS, 245 PARK AVE 41ST FL, NEW YORK NY 10167
Vestar Managers V Ltd. 10 percent owner 245 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Vestar Associates V, L.p. 10 percent owner 245 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10167
Greg Roth director ONE PARK PLAZA, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Pamela F Lenehan director C/O AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., ONE PARK WEST, TEWKSBURY MA 01876
Patrick M. Gray director C/O CIVITAS SOLUTIONS, INC. 313 CONGRESS STREET, 6TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02210
Guy P Sansone director C/O MEDNAX, 1301 CONCORD TERRACE, SUNRISE FL 33323
Mary Ann Tocio director C/O BRIGHT HORIZONS FAMILY SOLUTIONS, 2 WELLS AVENUE, NEWTON MA 02459
Vestar Capital Partners V L P 10 percent owner 245 PARK AVE 41ST FL, NEW YORK NY 10167
Robert L. Rosner director C/O TRITON INTERNATIONAL LIMITED, 100 MANHATTANVILLE ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Edward M Murphy director, officer: Executive Chair C/O CIVITAS SOLUTIONS, INC. 313 CONGRESS STREET, 6TH FLOOR BOSTON MA 02210
Kevin A Mundt director C/O VESTAR CAPITAL PARTNERS, 245 PARK AVENUE, 41ST FL, NEW YORK NY 10167