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Xylem (XYL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Xylem Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xylem's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Xylem Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Xylem  (NYSE:XYL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Xylem Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Xylem (XYL) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Xylem Inc (NYSE:XYL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
300 Water Street SE, Washington, DC, USA, 20003
Xylem is a global leader in water technology and offers a wide range of solutions, including the transport, treatment, testing, and efficient use of water for customers in the utility, industrial, commercial, and residential sectors. Xylem was spun off from ITT in 2011. Based in Rye Brook, New York, Xylem has a presence in over 150 countries and employs 16,200. The company generated $5.5 billion in revenue and $672 million in adjusted operating income in 2022.
Executives
Victoria D Harker director 4300 WILSON BOULEVARD, ARLINGTON VA 22203
William K Grogan officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer 3100 SANDERS ROAD, SUITE 301, NORTHBROOK IL 60062
Patrick Decker director, officer: President & CEO 9 ROSZEL ROAD, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Rodney Aulick officer: SVP & President, IS&S EVOQUA WATER TECHNOLOGIES CORP., 210 SIXTH AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Lisa Glatch director EVOQUA WATER TECHNOLOGIES CORP., 210 SIXTH AVENUE, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Lynn C Swann director C/O AMERICAN HOMES 4 RENT, 23975 PARK SORRENTO, SUITE 300, CALABASAS CA 91302
Earl Ray Ellis director ONE LIBERTY PLAZA, 7TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10006
Hayati Yarkadas officer: Senior Vice President C/O TRINSEO S.A., 1000 CHESTERBROOK BOULEVARD, SUITE 300, BERWYN PA 19312
Michael J. Mcgann officer: Senior Vice President 301 WATER STREET, SUITE 200, WASHINGTON DC 20003
Matthew Francis Pine officer: Senior Vice President XYLEM INC., 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Claudia S Toussaint officer: SVP, GC & Corporate Secretary 5454 W 110TH STREET, OVERLAND PARK KS 66211
Jeanne Beliveau-dunn director C/O XYLEM INC., 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Franz Cerwinka officer: SVP and President, Emerging Ma XYLEM INC., 1 INTERNATIONAL DRIVE, RYE BROOK NY 10573
Sabol Colin R officer: SVP & Chief Strategy Officer 9921 MONTIANO DRIVE, NAPLES FL 34113
Surya N Mohapatra director 3 GIRALDA FARMS, MADISON NJ 07940

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