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The Toro Co (The Toro Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is The Toro Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Toro Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



The Toro Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


The Toro Co  (NYSE:TTC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


The Toro Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Toro Co (The Toro Co) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8111 Lyndale Avenue South, Bloomington, MN, USA, 55420-1196
The Toro Co manufactures turf maintenance and landscaping equipment. The company produces reel and rotary riding products, trim cutting and walking mowers, greens rollers, turf sprayer equipment, underground irrigation systems, heavy-duty walk-behind mowers, and sprinkler systems used for professional turf and landscape maintenance and construction. Its products are marketed through a network of distributors and dealers to predominantly professional users maintaining turfs and sports fields such as golf courses. Its operating segments are Professional which generates a substantial part of its revenue, and Residential segment. The company also produces snow plowers and ice management products. Its key revenue generating market is the United States.
Executives
Gregory S Janey officer: VP, RLC 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Janet Katherine Cooper director 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Kurt D Svendsen officer: VP, Information Services 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Kevin N Carpenter officer: VP, Global Ops & Supply Chain 8111 LYNDALE AVE S, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Edric C Funk officer: Group VP, Golf, Grounds & Irr 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Jason P Baab officer: VP, Strategy, Corp Dev & Sust 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Daryn A Walters officer: VP, Exmark 8111 LYNDALE AVE S, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Joanna M. Totsky officer: VP, GC & Corp Secretary 40300 TRADITIONS DRIVE, NORTHVILLE MI 48168
Richard W Rodier officer: Section 16 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Gary Lee Ellis director THE TORO COMPANY, 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Jody M Christy officer: Vice President, BOSS 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Renee J Peterson officer: VP, Finance & CFO 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Blake M Grams officer: mging dir., corp. controller 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Richard M Olson officer: VP, Exmark 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420
Amy E Dahl officer: VP, Human Resources 8111 LYNDALE AVENUE SOUTH, BLOOMINGTON MN 55420