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Seven & i Holdings Co (TSE:3382) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Seven & i Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Seven & i Holdings Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


Seven & i Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.99

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB=Market Cap / Adjusted Book Equity
=Market Cap / (Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Seven & i Holdings Co  (TSE:3382) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Seven & i Holdings Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Seven & i Holdings Co (TSE:3382) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » Seven & i Holdings Co Ltd (TSE:3382) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Comparable Companies
TSE:3038 TSE:8279 TSE:8242 TSE:8194 TSE:9974 TSE:2791 TSE:8198 TSE:2742 TSE:9919 TSE:8167 KR ASX:WOW TSX:L XAMS:AD LSE:TSCO TSX:WN ASX:COL BKK:CPALL ACI XPAR:CA
Traded in Other Exchanges
SVNDY:USA SVNDF:USA S6M:Germany S6M:Germany
Address
8-8, Nibancho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 102-8452
Website
http://www.7andi.com
Seven & i Holdings operates 7-Eleven, the world's largest convenience store chain, with nearly 72,000 stores globally. C-store operations, mainly in Japan and North America, represent 75% of group sales (54% of operating revenue) and nearly 85% of operating profits. 7-Eleven Japan, the market leader in Japan's C-store industry, has acquired 45% value share and 38% share in store count. 7-Eleven Inc., the largest C-store chain in the U.S., made a $21 billion acquisition of Speedway in 2020. The deal lifted its total store count to about 13,700. Other retail activities including superstores, department stores, and specialty retailers either earn low margins or are in the red. The financial business, mainly ATM operations, is the other key profit contributor.

Seven & i Holdings Co (TSE:3382) Headlines

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