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Texas Pacific Land (Texas Pacific Land) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Texas Pacific Land Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Texas Pacific Land's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Texas Pacific Land Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.59

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Texas Pacific Land  (NYSE:TPL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Texas Pacific Land Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Texas Pacific Land (Texas Pacific Land) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Texas Pacific Land Corp (NYSE:TPL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1700 Pacific Avenue, Suite 2900, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201
Texas Pacific Land Corp is mainly engaged in sales and leases of land owned, retaining oil and gas royalties, and the overall management of the land owned. It operates its business in two segments including Land and Resource Management and Water Service and Operations. The Land and Resource Management segment focuses on managing its oil and gas royalty interest and surface acres located in 19 different counties. The Water Service and Operations segment includes Water Sourcing, Produced Water Gathering / Treatment / Recycling, Infrastructure Development, Produced Water Disposal, Water Tracking / Analytics / Well Testing.
Executives
Murray Stahl director C/O HORIZON KINETICS LLC, 470 PARK AVE S 8TH FL S, NEW YORK NY 10016
Horizon Kinetics Asset Management Llc 10 percent owner 470 PARK AVENUE SOUTH, 4TH FLOOR SOUTH, NEW YORK NY 10016
Rhys J Best director MRC GLOBAL INC., 2 HOUSTON CENTER, 909 FANNIN, SUITE 3100, HOUSTON TX 77010
Donald G Cook director 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, STAMFORD CT 06902
Micheal W. Dobbs officer: Senior VP, Secretory + GC 1700 PACIFIC AVENUE, SUITE 2900, DALLAS TX 75201
Karl F Kurz director DEVON ENERGY CORP., 333 W. SHERIDAN AVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102
Stephanie Buffington officer: Chief Accounting Officer
Dana F. Mcginnis director 112 E PECAN STREET, SUITE 1425, SAN ANTONIO TX 78025
Barbara J Duganier director 6 CARLTON PARK COURT, HOUSTON TX 77024-7316
Norris John R Iii director 3811 TURTLE CREEK BLVD #400, C/O CALOWAY NORRIS & BURDETTE, DALLAS TX 75219
Donna E Epps director 11465 JOHNS CREEK PARKWAY, SUITE400, JOHNS CREEK GA 30097
Eric L Oliver director 303 W WALL, SUITE 1700, MIDLAND TX 79701
Chris Steddum officer: Chief Financial Officer 1700 PACIFIC AVENUE, SUITE 2900, DALLAS TX 75201
Tyler Glover director, officer: President & CEO 1700 PACIFIC AVENUE, SUITE 2770, C/O TEXAS PACIFIC LAND TRUST, DALLAS TX 75201
David E. Barry director C/O SIDRA REAL ESTATE, INC., TWO RIVERWAY, SUITE 1010, HOUSTON TX 77056