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T-Mobile US (T-Mobile US) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is T-Mobile US Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where T-Mobile US's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



T-Mobile US Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.24

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


T-Mobile US  (NAS:TMUS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


T-Mobile US Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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T-Mobile US (T-Mobile US) Business Description

Address
12920 SE 38th Street, Bellevue, WA, USA, 98006-1350
Deutsche Telekom merged its T-Mobile USA unit with prepaid specialist MetroPCS in 2013, creating T-Mobile us. Following the merger, the firm provided nationwide service in major markets but spottier coverage elsewhere. T-Mobile spent aggressively on low-frequency spectrum, well suited to broad coverage, and has substantially expanded its geographic footprint. This expansion, coupled with aggressive marketing and innovative offerings, produced rapid customer growth. With the Sprint acquisition, the firm's scale now roughly matches its larger rivals: T-Mobile now serves 73 million postpaid and 21 million prepaid phone customers, equal to around 30% of the U.S. retail wireless market. In addition, the firm provides wholesale service to resellers.
Executives
Telekom Ag Deutsche director, 10 percent owner FRIEDERICH EBERT ALLEE 140, D 53113 BONN GERMANY I8
Deeanne King officer: EVP, Human Resources C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Dara Bazzano officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer 100 NORTH SEPULVEDA BLVD., SUITE 1100, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245
Nestor Cano officer: EVP, Transformation and CIDO
Michael J. Katz officer: EVP, T-Mobile for Business C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006-1350
G Michael Sievert officer: Chief Operating Officer 1715 NORTH WESTSHORE BOULEVARD, SUITE 650, TAMPA FL 33607
Srikant Datar director ICF INTERNATIONAL, INC., 9300 LEE HIGHWAY, FAIRFAX VA 22031
Ulf Ewaldsson officer: President, Technology C/O T-MOBILE US, INC, 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Jon Freier officer: EVP, Consumer Markets C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006-1350
James J Kavanaugh director IBM CORPORATION, ONE NEW ORCHARD RD, ARMONK NY 10504-1722
Andre Almeida director C/O T-MOBILE US, INC, 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Raul Marcelo Claure director 2010 NW 84 AVENUE, MIAMI FL 33122
Neville R Ray officer: EVP & Chief Technology Officer C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Peter Osvaldik officer: SVP, Finance & CAO C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006
Callie R Field officer: President, Business Group C/O T-MOBILE US, INC., 12920 SE 38TH STREET, BELLEVUE WA 98006

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