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Snowflake (Snowflake) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Snowflake Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Snowflake's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Snowflake Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Snowflake  (NYSE:SNOW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Snowflake Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Snowflake (Snowflake) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Snowflake Inc (NYSE:SNOW) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
106 East Babcock Street, Suite 3A, Bozeman, MT, USA, 59715
Founded in 2012, Snowflake is a data lake, warehousing, and sharing company that came public in 2020. To date, the company has over 3,000 customers, including nearly 30% of the Fortune 500 as its customers. Snowflake's data lake stores unstructured and semistructured data that can then be used in analytics to create insights stored in its data warehouse. Snowflake's data sharing capability allows enterprises to easily buy and ingest data almost instantaneously compared with a traditionally months-long process. Overall, the company is known for the fact that all of its data solutions that can be hosted on various public clouds.
Executives
Christian Kleinerman officer: SVP, Product Management 106 E. BABCOCK STREET, SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Christopher William Degnan officer: Chief Revenue Officer 450 CONCAR DRIVE, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Frank Slootman director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET, SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Grzegorz Czajkowski officer: SVP, Engineering and Support 106 E. BABCOCK STREET, SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Benoit Dageville director, 10 percent owner, officer: President of Products 450 CONCAR DRIVE, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Teresa Briggs director 2225 LAWSON LANE, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Michael L Speiser director, 10 percent owner 755 PAGE MILL ROAD, SUITE A-200, PALO ALTO CA 94304-1005
Michael Scarpelli 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET, SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Mark D Mclaughlin director C/O PALO ALTO NETWORKS, INC., 4401 GREAT AMERICA PKWY, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
John Dennis Mcmahon director C/O BLADELOGIC, INC., 10 MAGUIRE STREET, BUILDING 3, LEXINGTON MA 02421
Stephen B Burke director 41 CENTRAL PARK WEST - APT 11A, NEW YORK NY 10023
Jeremy Burton director C/O SNOWFLAKE INC., 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Mark Garrett director 106 EAST BABCOCK STREET SUITE 3A, BOZEMAN MT 59715
Sequoia Grove Manager, Llc 10 percent owner SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Sequoia Grove Ii, Llc 10 percent owner SEQUOIA CAPITAL, 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025