GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » Schneider National Inc (NYSE:SNDR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Schneider National (Schneider National) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2017. Start your Free Trial

What is Schneider National Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Schneider National Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.94

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Schneider National  (NYSE:SNDR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Schneider National Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Schneider National's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Schneider National (Schneider National) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3101 South Packerland Drive, Green Bay, WI, USA, 54313
Schneider National Inc ranks among the largest providers of surface transportation and logistics solutions in North America. The company's segments include Truckload; Intermodal; Logistics and other. It generates maximum revenue from the Truckload segment.
Executives
Darrell George Campbell officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer C/O SCHNEIDER NATIONAL, INC., 3101 SOUTH PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
Julie K Streich director 123 MAIN STREET, BRISTOL CT 06010
Reich Robert M Jr officer: Chief Admin Officer 3101 SOUTH PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
Shaleen Devgun officer: Chief Information Officer 3101 PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
James Scott Filter officer: EVP, Pres. Transp. and Log. 3101 SOUTH PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
David L Geyer officer: EVP, Pres. Transp. & Log. 3101 SOUTH PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
Jyoti Chopra director 3101 S. PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54306-2545
Knight Robert M Jr director UNION PACIFIC CORP, 1416 DODGE ST, OMAHA NE 68179
Dumas Magnin Shelly A officer: Vice President and Controller 3101 S. PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54306-2545
Stephen L Bruffett officer: EVP and CFO 3101 SOUTH PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
Amy G Schilling officer: Vice President and Controller 3101 PACKERLAND DRIVE, GREEN BAY WI 54313
Thomas G Jackson officer: EVP & General Counsel KNOWLES CORPORATION, 1151 MAPLEWOOD DRIVE, ITASCA IL 60143
John A Swainson director C/O VISA INC., 900 METRO CENTER BLVD., FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Christopher B Lofgren director, officer: CEO & President 520 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
James R Giertz director