GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Tanger Inc (NYSE:SKT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Tanger (Tanger) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1993. Start your Free Trial

What is Tanger Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tanger Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.04

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tanger  (NYSE:SKT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tanger Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tanger's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tanger (Tanger) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Tanger Inc (NYSE:SKT) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
3200 Northline Avenue, Suite 360, Greensboro, NC, USA, 27408
Tanger Inc Formerly Tanger Factory Outlet Centers Inc is the owner and operator of outlet centers in the United States and Canada. It is a fully-integrated, self-administered and self-managed REIT, which focuses on developing, acquiring, owning, operating and managing outlet shopping centers. Substantially majority of the firm's revenue is derived from rental income from real property. Geographically, the activities are carried out through the United States.
Executives
Steven B Tanger director, officer: President,
Jessica K Norman officer: EVP, General Counsel,Secretary 1835 MARKET STREET, SUITE 2601, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Susan E Skerritt director 3200 NORTHLINE AVE, SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Thomas Reddin director 11115 RUSHMORE DR, CHARLOTTE NC 28277
Michael J Bilerman officer: See Remarks 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Guerrieri Thomas Joseph Jr officer: VP, CAO and Controller 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Justin C Stein officer: EVP, Leasing 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Andrew R Wingrove officer: EVP, Chief Commercial Officer 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Carrie A Warren officer: Senior V.P. of Marketing 5900 HENSON FARM RD, SUMMERFIELD NC 27358
Chad Perry officer: EVP,General Counsel,Secretary C/O TANGER FACTORY OUTLET CENTERS, INC., 3200 NORTHLINE AVENUE, SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Sandeep Mathrani director
Gallardo Leslie Swanson officer: Executive VP Operations 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
James Floyd Williams officer: Vice President & Controller 3204 COTTINGHAM COURT, GREENSBORO NC 27410
Stephen Yalof officer: President & COO 3200 NORTHLINE AVE., SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408
Charles Allen Worsham officer: SVP,Construction & Development 3200 NORTHLINE AVENUE, SUITE 360, GREENSBORO NC 27408