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Sunstone Hotel Investors (Sunstone Hotel Investors) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Sunstone Hotel Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Hotel & Motel subindustry, Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sunstone Hotel Investors's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sunstone Hotel Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.84

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sunstone Hotel Investors  (NYSE:SHO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sunstone Hotel Investors Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sunstone Hotel Investors (Sunstone Hotel Investors) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
15 Enterprise, Suite 200, Aliso Viejo, CA, USA, 92656
Sunstone Hotel Investors Inc is a real estate investment trust that acquires, owns, manages, and renovates the full-service hotel and select-service hotel properties across various states in the United States. The firm's portfolio consists primarily of urban, upper-upscale hotels. The vast majority of these hotels are managed under Marriott, Hilton, Fairmont, and Sheraton brands. Regionally, the company's assets are located in its California, Other West, Midwest, and East geographical segments within the U.S. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from its Eastern operations, closely followed by its Californian operations. Sunstone's sole source of income is hotel revenue from its hotel ownership segment.
Executives
Robert C Springer officer: SVP - Acquisitions 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Aaron Robert Reyes officer: Chief Financial Officer 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, 21ST FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
Douglas M Pasquale director 245 FICHER AVE STE D-1, COSTA MESA CA 92626
David M Klein officer: SVP - General Counsel 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Verett Ann Mims director 15 ENTERPRISE, SUITE 200, ALISO VIEJO CA 92656
Kristina M Leslie director DREAMWORKS ANIMATION SKG, INC., 1000 FLOWER STREET, GLENDALE CA 91201
Keith P Russell director 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Christopher Gerard Ostapovicz officer: Chief Operating Officer 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, 21ST FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
Marc Andrew Hoffman officer: EVP - Chief Operating Officer 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
W Blake Baird director 1411 SAND ISLAND PARKWAY, HONOLULU HI 96819
Monica S Digilio director ONE CAESARS PALACE DRIVE, LAS VEGAS NV 89109
Murray J. Mccabe director 1170 PEACHTREE STREET NE, SUITE 600, ATLANTA GA 30309
John V Arabia officer: Executive Vice President - CFO 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618
Bryan Albert Giglia officer: SVP - Chief Financial Officer 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, 21ST FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
Thomas A Lewis director 200 SPECTRUM CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 2100, IRVINE CA 92618