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Sprouts Farmers Market (Sprouts Farmers Market) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Sprouts Farmers Market Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sprouts Farmers Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Sprouts Farmers Market Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Sprouts Farmers Market  (NAS:SFM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Sprouts Farmers Market Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Sprouts Farmers Market (Sprouts Farmers Market) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5455 East High Street, Suite 111, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85054
Sprouts Farmers Market is an American specialty grocer offering an assortment highlighting fresh and naturally derived products. Its offerings are especially focused on produce, which constituted around 20% of sales in fiscal 2022. Founded in 2002, the chain is most heavily concentrated in California, which accounted for over one third of its 386 stores as of the end of fiscal 2022. All of the company's operations are in the United States, with its stores largely located in the southern half of the country. Private-label products accounted for nearly 20% of sales in fiscal 2022.
Executives
Brandon F. Lombardi officer: Chief Legal Officer 11811 N. TATUM BOULEVARD SUITE 2400, PHOENIX AZ 85028
David Mcglinchey officer: Chief Merchandising Officer 5455 E. HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Douglas Gregory Rauch director 54 WILDE ROAD, WABAN MA 02468
Joseph L Hurley officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Jack Sinclair director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 800 WEST 1ST STREET, APT. 2308, LOS ANGELES CA 90012
Lawrence Molloy director 19601 N 27TH AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85027
Stacy W. Hilgendorf officer: VP, Controller 14624 N. SCOTTSDALE ROAD, SUITE 300, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85254
James H Bahrenburg officer: Chief Technology Officer 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Kim Coffin officer: SVP, Chief Forager 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
John Scott Neal officer: Chief Fresh Merchandising Off. 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Timmi Zalatoris officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Nicholas Konat officer: President & COO 10850 VIA FRONTERA, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Dan J Sanders officer: Chief Operations Officer 5455 E. HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Alisa Gmelich officer: SVP, Chief Marketing Officer 5455 EAST HIGH STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054
Hari K. Avula director 5455 EAST HIGHT STREET, SUITE 111, PHOENIX AZ 85054